Match Info

FA Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium (Yuxi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Yunnan Yukun		Guangdong GZ-Power

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.3	5	7.25
	1.15	6.9	14.5
	1.17	6.95	14
	1.35	5.34	5.99	Watch
	1.3	4.8	8	Watch
	1.22	6.55	10.7	Watch
	1.32	4.85	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.32)	5.77 ↑ (4.85)	9.85 ↑ (8.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yunnan Yukun
74.3%

Draw
16.2%

Guangdong GZ-Power
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

19.1%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

17.2%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Guangdong GZ-Power has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yunnan Yukun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangdong GZ-Power than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Yunnan Yukun - Guangdong GZ Power Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Yunnan Yukun (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Yunnan Yukun (1.87) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Yunnan Yukun will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Yunnan Yukun (votes: 3 - 50%). Guangdong GZ-Power (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ma Zhen (C) 22. Tang Miao 33. Burca A. 4. Li Songyi 5. Mawlanniyaz D. 8. Ye Chugui 10. Ionita II A. 6. Zhao Yuhao 7. Luo Jing 30. Saeter J. 25. Taty Maritu O.	1. Chen Zhao (C) 3. Han Xuan 2. Chen Guoliang 29. Shan P. 13. Jiang Z. 39. Huang Shenghao 26. Ma Junliang 17. Yan Zihao 14. Zeng Chao 36. Ai Chuwei 10. Liang Xueming
Substitutes
2. Chen Yuhao 19. Duan Dezhi 31. Geng Xiaofeng (G) 21. Li B. 17. Sun Xuelong 40. Wang Pengbo 29. Yang He 23. Yin Congyao 24. Yu Jianxian (G) 26. Zhang Chenliang 16. Zhang Xiangshuo 20. Zhang Yufeng	8. Cai Haochang 21. Cui Xinglong 6. Duan Yunzi 20. Farley Rosa 5. Jiang Jihong 7. Joao Carlos 38. Tu Dongxu 27. Wu Xingyu 45. Xue Sibo (G) 42. Yang Hao
Coaches
Andersen J.	Li B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Luo Jing ⚽, Taty Maritu O. (A),
26', Jiang Z. ↓, Cui Xinglong ↑,
39', 2 - 0, Taty Maritu O. ⚽, Tang Miao (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ai Chuwei ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
48', 3 - 0, Taty Maritu O. ⚽, Tang Miao (A),
63', Ma Junliang ↓, Cai Haochang ↑,
63', Zeng Chao ↓, Farley Rosa ↑,
66', Zhao Yuhao ↓, Sun Xuelong ↑,
66', Ye Chugui ↓, Yin Congyao ↑,
66', Saeter J. ↓, Zhang Yufeng ↑,
78', Huang Shenghao ↓, Duan Yunzi ↑,
79', Mawlanniyaz D. 🟨,
84', Taty Maritu O. ↓, Yang He ↑,
88', Tang Miao ↓, Zhang Chenliang ↑,
90+3', Cui Xinglong ↓, Yang Hao ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Guangdong GZ-Power may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Yunnan Yukun has had a series of away games.

In this match, Yunnan Yukun is the clear favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Super League
18.07.25	Zhejiang Professional - Yunnan Yukun	3:1 ✺
30.06.25	Beijing Guoan - Yunnan Yukun	2:1 ✺
26.06.25	Yunnan Yukun - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.25	Shaanxi Union - Yunnan Yukun	1:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
14.06.25	Qingdao West Coast - Yunnan Yukun	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWT
- Guangdong GZ-Power FC
Chinese Jia League
18.07.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Dalian Kun City	2:2 ✺
12.07.25	Yanbian Longding - Guangdong GZ-Power	2:0 ✺
06.07.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:1 ✺
29.06.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Qingdao Red Lions	0:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLWTW

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