Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 12

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec) 🌤️ ...


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		Kluczbork

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.80	4.20
	1.52	3.90	4.80
	1.58	3.73	4.67
	1.61	3.87	4.72	Watch
	1.56	3.65	4.60
	1.67	3.87	4.48	Watch
	1.66	3.79	3.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.66)	3.8 ↑ (3.79)	4.47 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
56.2%

Draw
23.7%

Kluczbork
20.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.3%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Kluczbork has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Zagłębie Sosnowiec aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kluczbork than the current prediction. (+2%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Kluczbork Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Podgorski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 5th and 12th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 2.

In recent outings, Zagłębie Sosnowiec has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Kluczbork is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Kluczbork could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Zagłębie Sosnowiec has faced a series of away games on the road.

Zagłębie Sosnowiec is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Zagłębie Sosnowiec has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:9 (averaging 1.6:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zagłębie Sosnowiec against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 5:3 goals (averaging 1.7:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	14	10	1	3	21:10	11	31
9	Kluczbork	13	6	0	7	14:18	-4	18

Last Results with these Odds

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 53.31%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 3 - Group III
03.10.26	Odra Bytom Odrzański - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	Polkowice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Polonia Nysa - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Barycz Sułów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Sparta Katowice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLL
- MKS Kluczbork
Polish Division 3 - Group III
26.09.26	Kluczbork - Polonia Nysa	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Sparta Katowice - Kluczbork	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Kluczbork - Ślęza Wrocław	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Kluczbork	3:0 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Kluczbork - Lechia Gdańsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
08.07.26	Kluczbork - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	4:1
Polish Division 1
08.04.17	Kluczbork - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:4
10.09.16	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Kluczbork	4:0
20.03.16	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Kluczbork	0:2
26.08.15	Kluczbork - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1
Polish Division 2
20.05.15	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Kluczbork	1:1
25.10.14	Kluczbork - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0

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