Match Info

Date: 7 May 2021, Friday


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		Radomiak Radom

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.9
	3.65	3.3	1.9
	3.85	3.3	1.9
	4.07	3.57	1.96
	3.7	3.25	1.91
	3.9	3.46	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (3.32)	3.38 ↑ (3.3)	1.92 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
24.4%

Draw
27.4%

Radomiak Radom
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

27.6%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

21.5%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Radomiak Radom could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Radomiak Radom Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion to Division 1 (Promotion to Play Offs)).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Radomiak is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Radomiak will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 1
01.05.21	Korona Kielce - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
28.04.21	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Arka Gdynia	2:3 ✺
24.04.21	Resovia Rzeszów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:2 ✺
18.04.21	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Bełchatów	1:1 ✺
10.04.21	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWTL
- Radomiak Radom
Polish Division 1
02.05.21	Radomiak Radom - Stomil Olsztyn	1:0 ✺
28.04.21	ŁKS Łódź - Radomiak Radom	1:1 ✺
24.04.21	Radomiak Radom - Odra Opole	1:0 ✺
20.04.21	GKS Tychy - Radomiak Radom	1:0 ✺
14.04.21	Puszcza Niepołomice - Radomiak Radom	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
14.11.20	Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0
17.06.20	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Radomiak Radom	2:2
Club Friendly
18.01.20	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Radomiak Radom	2:2
Polish Division 1
14.09.19	Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:1
Club Friendly
23.03.18	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Radomiak Radom	1:1

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