Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 28

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion ŁKS (Lodz)

Referee: Kos D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Sport


	ŁKS Łódź		Radomiak Radom

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2.1
	3.3	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.38	3.46	2.2
	3.38	3.46	2.2
	3.3	3.4	2
	3.46	3.46	2.06	Watch
	3.15	3.3	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (3.05)	3.41 ↑ (3.1)	2.11 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ŁKS Łódź
28.2%

Draw
27.4%

Radomiak Radom
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

29%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

28.4%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ŁKS Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ŁKS Łódź than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	33.3%	41.7%

ŁKS Łódź - Radomiak Radom Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. ŁKS will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Radomiak will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radomiak: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Arndt D. (G) 8. Dankowski K. 2. Gulen L. 4. Mammadov R. 18. Durmisi R. 14. Mokrzycki M. 9. Tejan K. 16. Dani Ramirez (C) 11. Hoti E. 70. Balic H. 20. Janczukowicz P.	28. Kobylak G. (G) 13. Grzesik J. 29. Rossi R. (C) 4. Vuskovic L. 33. Abramowicz D. 8. Luizao 27. Wolski R. 23. Peglow 20. Machado L. 66. Jordao B. 22. Jardel
Substitutes
6. Ceijas T. 5. Flis M. 37. Glowacki P. 21. Juric S. 25. Kolba M. (G) 30. Koprowski O. 22. Labedzki J. 15. Mlynarczyk A. 26. Szeliga B.	16. Cichocki M. 99. Guilherme 14. Jakubik D. 6. Kaput M. 9. Leandro 1. Majchrowicz F. (G) 18. Okoniewski K. 11. Pik D. 7. Semedo L.
Coaches
Matysiak M.	Kedziorek M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Mammadov R. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Tejan K. ⚽, Dani Ramirez (A),
38', Janczukowicz P. 🟨,
45+1', Wolski R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', 1 - 1, Jardel ⚽, Wolski R. (A),
55', 2 - 1, Tejan K. ⚽, Mokrzycki M. (A),
57', Wolski R. 🟨,
62', Machado L. ↓, Semedo L. ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Hoti E. ⚽, Janczukowicz P. (A),
72', Janczukowicz P. ↓, Juric S. ↑,
72', Hoti E. ↓, Ceijas T. ↑,
73', Peglow ↓, Okoniewski K. ↑,
78', Balic H. ↓, Mlynarczyk A. ↑,
82', Jordao B. ↓, Leandro ↑,
82', Luizao ↓, Kaput M. ↑,
82', Jardel ↓, Guilherme ↑,
87', Tejan K. ↓, Szeliga B. ↑,
90', Arndt D. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 2, Guilherme ⚽, Abramowicz D. (A),

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches ŁKS won 0.

Recent matches ŁKS is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Radomiak is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

ŁKS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Radomiak will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches ŁKS won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams ŁKS won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ŁKS Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.04.24	Cracovia - ŁKS Łódź	2:2 ✺
30.03.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - ŁKS Łódź	6:0 ✺
17.03.24	ŁKS Łódź - Raków Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
11.03.24	Warta Poznań - ŁKS Łódź	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	ŁKS Łódź - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 TLTWW
- Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.04.24	Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Radomiak Radom	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:2 ✺
08.03.24	Piast Gliwice - Radomiak Radom	2:3 ✺
04.03.24	Radomiak Radom - Stal Mielec	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
07.10.23	Radomiak Radom - ŁKS Łódź	3:0
Polish Division 1
28.04.21	ŁKS Łódź - Radomiak Radom	1:1
18.11.20	Radomiak Radom - ŁKS Łódź	1:0
Club Friendly
04.09.20	ŁKS Łódź - Radomiak Radom	1:1
29.06.19	ŁKS Łódź - Radomiak Radom	2:2
Polish Division 2
09.05.18	ŁKS Łódź - Radomiak Radom	3:0
14.10.17	Radomiak Radom - ŁKS Łódź	1:1

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