Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 29

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach (Niepołomice)

Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball


	Puszcza Niepołomice		Radomiak Radom

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.4	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.4
	2.8	3.35	2.4	Watch
	3.03	3.4	2.5
	2.83	3.37	2.5	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.4
	2.92	3.42	2.37	Watch
	2.8	3.35	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.5)	3.34 ↑ (3.23)	2.42 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puszcza Niepołomice
33%

Draw
28.2%

Radomiak Radom
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

28.8%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

30.2%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puszcza Niepołomice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Radomiak Radom, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Puszcza Niepołomice - Radomiak Radom Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Radomiak will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radomiak: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Radomiak (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Radomiak (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Radomiak (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Komar K. (G) 8. Mrozinski P. 4. Szymonowicz D. 3. Yakuba R. 33. Abramowicz D. 14. Serafin J. 6. Atanasov J. 5. Stepien K. 10. Tomalski H. 11. Cholewiak M. 63. Barkovsky G.	1. Kikolski M. (G) 25. Burch M. 5. Agouzoul S. 33. Pestka K. 13. Grzesik J. 28. Kaput M. 77. Donis C. 23. Henrique P. 10. Alves R. 27. Wolski R. 15. Tapsoba A.
Substitutes
24. Blagaic J. 7. Klimek A. 35. Kosidis M. 31. Perchel M. (G) 17. Radecki M. 67. Revenco I. 27. Solowiej L. 19. Stec J. 12. Stepien M.	19. Barbosa R. 11. Capita 17. Dadashov R. 8. Golubickas P. 6. Jordao B. 74. Kingue S. 44. Koptas W. (G) 88. Ramos F. 24. Zie Ouattara
Coaches
Tulacz T.	Henriques J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Abramowicz D. 🟨,
35', Serafin J. 🟨,
44', Wolski R. 🟨,
44', Atanasov J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', Donis C. 🟨,
59', Kaput M. 🟨,
63', Barkovsky G. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
63', Cholewiak M. ↓, Klimek A. ↑,
65', Tapsoba A. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
65', Donis C. ↓, Golubickas P. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Pestka K. ⚽, Wolski R. (A),
73', Wolski R. ↓, Capita ↑,
73', Henrique P. ↓, Kingue S. ↑,
74', Tomalski H. ↓, Blagaic J. ↑,
74', Serafin J. ↓, Radecki M. ↑,
83', Mrozinski P. 🟨,
84', Alves R. ↓, Jordao B. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Klimek A. ⚽,
86', 1 - 2, Kaput M. ⚽, Grzesik J. (A),
88', Atanasov J. ↓, Stec J. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, Yakuba R. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0.

Puszcza is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Radomiak is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Radomiak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Puszcza: Craciun A. (Yellow Cards) Radecki M. (Injury)

There will not play in Radomiak: Cichocki M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Puszcza: Stepien M. (Inactive)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:12 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Ekstraklasa
12.04.25	GKS Katowice - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:1 ✺
07.04.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
01.04.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin	0:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
29.03.25	Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:1 ✺
16.03.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Piast Gliwice	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTLLW
- Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa
12.04.25	Raków Częstochowa - Radomiak Radom	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom	1:3 ✺
14.03.25	Radomiak Radom - Lechia Gdańsk	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Cracovia - Radomiak Radom	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
21.10.24	Radomiak Radom - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0
01.04.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Radomiak Radom	1:1
23.09.23	Radomiak Radom - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1
Polish Division 1
14.04.21	Puszcza Niepołomice - Radomiak Radom	0:4
21.10.20	Radomiak Radom - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0
25.07.20	Puszcza Niepołomice - Radomiak Radom	4:0
Club Friendly
25.01.20	Radomiak Radom - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1

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