Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 14

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Arka Gdynia		Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	4.2
	1.72	3.8	4
	1.72	4	4.33	Watch
	1.74	3.77	4.83
	1.74	3.77	4.83
	1.67	3.7	3.9
	1.74	3.82	4.15
	1.74	3.9	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.88)	3.81 ↑ (3.63)	4.31 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arka Gdynia
54%

Draw
24.4%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

25.4%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

24.5%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arka Gdynia's performance.

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Arka Gdynia - Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Lenarcik P. (G) 32. Stolc P. 29. Marcjanik M. 4. Dobrotka M. 94. Gojny D. (C) 20. Borecki M. 55. Gol J. 21. Skora K. 11. Adamczyk H. 7. Kobacki O. 10. Czubak K.	95. Procek P. (G) 55. Willman M. 6. Hlavica J. 77. Tomasik P. 17. Milasius T. 25. Nnosiri S. 30. Jodlowiec T. (C) 89. Mikolajewski D. 9. Banaszewski M. 79. Abate L. 24. Sitek M.
Substitutes
13. Azatsky O. 36. Bednarski M. 17. Capanni L. 1. Krzepisz K. (G) 39. Lipkowski K. 38. Predenkiewicz M. 99. Wilczynski J. 28. Zielinski W.	43. Bernard B. 20. Kadric H. 32. Kisiel J. 5. Kolenc J. 1. Lukac P. (G) 23. Misztal M. 8. Stryjewski Mi. 3. Wypych M. 2. Ziolkowski M.
Coaches
Lobodzinski W.	Mokry G.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).

Arka in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Podbeskidzie is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Podbeskidzie could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Arka is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Arka to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arka won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Arka won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arka Gdynia
Polish Division 1
29.10.23	Resovia Rzeszów - Arka Gdynia	1:2 ✺
23.10.23	Arka Gdynia - Znicz Pruszków	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Wisła Płock - Arka Gdynia	0:3 ✺
29.09.23	Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Miedź Legnica - Arka Gdynia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWWWW
- Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
Polish Division 1
27.10.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Wisła Kraków	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	GKS Tychy - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.10.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
07.10.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Stal Rzeszów	0:1 ✺
29.09.23	Polonia Warsaw - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
12.11.22	Arka Gdynia - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:2
17.07.22	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Arka Gdynia	0:1
13.05.22	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Arka Gdynia	1:1
05.11.21	Arka Gdynia - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0
Polish Cup
19.09.17	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Arka Gdynia	1:2 ET

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