The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zagłębie Sosnowiec 30.8%
Draw 29.8%
Górnik Łęczna 39.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.9%
30.1%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.3%
29.5%
37.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Górnik Łęczna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.3%
16.7%
75%
Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Górnik Łęczna Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Zagłębie Sosnowiec will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Łęczna: 50.5% – 99.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Kos M. (G) 96. Calinski P. 44. Remy W. 25. Szostek P. 23. Matynia H. 29. Rozwandowicz M. 14. Bonecki S. 77. Wrzesinski K. 10. Janota M. (C) 7. Polyarus A. 9. Bilinski K.
33. Gostomski M. (C) 21. Bednarczyk J. 4. Klemenz L. 30. Cisse S. 20. Mlynski M. 10. Deja A. 16. Zyra P. 77. Gaska D. 17. Lukasiak K. 7. Durmus I. 95. Roginic M.
Substitutes
6. Dovgyi O. 11. Fabry M. 18. Guezen D. 1. Shevchenko O. (G) 97. Sokol D. 3. Sukhotskyi A. 88. Troc A. 95. Zielonka N. 19. Ziemann M.
29. Dziwniel D. 22. Fazlagic E. 11. Janaszek F. 9. Podlinski K. 14. Rojek S. 19. Starzynski P. 52. Warchol D. 12. Wozniak T. (G) 25. Zbozien D.
Coaches
Saganowski M.
Stano P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Rozwandowicz M. 🟨,
40', Gaska D. 🟨,
45+1', Janota M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gaska D. ↓, Starzynski P. ↑,
50', Szostek P. 🟨,
58', Zyra P. ↓, Warchol D. ↑,
64', Janota M. ↓, Sokol D. ↑,
69', Bonecki S. 🟨,
80', Mlynski M. ↓, Janaszek F. ↑,
81', Bonecki S. ↓, Guezen D. ↑,
81', Wrzesinski K. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
87', Roginic M. ↓, Podlinski K. ↑,
90+1', Szostek P. ↓, Sukhotskyi A. ↑,
90+1', Bilinski K. ↓, Fabry M. ↑,
90+2', Kos M. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 1, Durmus I. (Pen),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 0.
Zagłębie Sosnowiec is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Górnik Łęczna is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.
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Kos M. (G) 
Remy W. 
Polyarus A. 
Cisse S. 
Durmus I. 
Roginic M. 
Fabry M. 
Guezen D. 
Ziemann M. 
Fazlagic E. 
Rojek S. 
