Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 14

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec) 🌤️ ...


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		Miedź Legnica 2

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.80	4.00
	1.71	3.75	3.65
	1.60	3.94	4.25
	1.73	3.98	3.82	Watch
	1.57	3.70	4.40
	1.67	4.14	4.14	Watch
	1.43	4.2	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.43)	3.93 ↓ (4.2)	4.19 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
55.6%

Draw
22.9%

Miedź Legnica 2
21.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.7%

21%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

19.6%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zagłębie Sosnowiec's form might have worsened.

Miedź Legnica 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zagłębie Sosnowiec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miedź Legnica 2 than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miedź Legnica 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Miedź Legnica 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
24', Herbut S. (Penalty Awarded),
26', 1 - 0, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
32', Diallo B. 🟥,
40', 2 - 0, Sikorski O. ⚽,
44', 3 - 0, Madej L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 3 - 1, Paczek S. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Division 2 and 9th).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Miedź 2 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Miedź 2 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Zagłębie Sosnowiec for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Zagłębie Sosnowiec in today's match, at odds of 1.63.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	14	10	1	3	21:10	11	31
10	Legnica II	14	5	2	7	28:27	1	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 3 - Group III
17.10.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:1 ✺
14.10.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Raków Częstochowa II	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Kluczbork	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Odra Bytom Odrzański - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	Polkowice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWWW
- Miedź Legnica 2
Polish Division 3 - Group III
17.10.26	Kluczbork - Miedź Legnica 2	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Miedź Legnica 2 - Raków Częstochowa II	2:1 ✺
02.10.26	Polonia Nysa - Miedź Legnica 2	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Miedź Legnica 2 - Sparta Katowice	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Ślęza Wrocław - Miedź Legnica 2	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 3 - Group III
31.10.26	Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	✺
- Miedź Legnica 2
Polish Division 3 - Group III
30.10.26	Miedź Legnica 2 - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	✺

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Miedź Legnica 2