Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 17

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		Polonia Bytom

	1	X	2
	3	3.25	2.05
	3.15	3.25	2.11	Watch
	3.42	3.3	2.1
	3.45	3.34	2.1	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2
	3.31	3.26	2.04	Watch
	3.15	3.25	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.94)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	2.07 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
28.1%

Draw
27.9%

Polonia Bytom
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

28.4%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

27.9%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Polonia Bytom Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
87. Siuta K. (G) 22. Acosta M. 21. Agbor E. 9. Bilinski K. 27. Borun B. 23. Checinski B. 19. Duda M. 4. Kurtovic R. 8. Marciniec P. 6. Niewulis A. (C) 17. Valencia J.	99. Holewinski A. (G) 11. Andrzejczak K. 18. Gajda T. (C) 3. Michalski S. 29. Piekarski A. 6. Scislak D. 21. Szumilas W. 14. Szymusik G. 4. Szywacz R. 9. Wojtyra K. 7. Zielinski L.
Substitutes
3. Janiszewski G. 1. Kabala M. (G) 99. Kulawiak A. 10. Mularczyk P. 88. Paszczela B. 11. Snopczynski B. 13. Sukhotskyi A. 25. Szostek P. 80. Uchnast L.	25. Konieczny D. 8. Labojko M. 30. Sewerys R. 17. Steblecki S. 16. Stefanski P. 1. Szymkowiak K. (G) 28. Wypart O. 19. Zabinski K. 10. Zagiel F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Duda M. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Marciniec P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Wojtyra K. 🟨,
53', Bilinski K. 🟨,
74', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 1.

Zagłębie Sosnowiec is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Polonia Bytom is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Polonia Bytom will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:5 (average 0.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 2
03.11.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Wieczysta Kraków	1:4 ✺
20.10.24	Wisła Puławy - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
16.10.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:6 ✺
12.10.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Skra Częstochowa	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLLW
- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 2
02.11.24	Polonia Bytom - Olimpia Elbląg	3:0 ✺
27.10.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Polonia Bytom	1:0 ✺
23.10.24	Wieczysta Kraków - Polonia Bytom	3:1 ✺
19.10.24	Polonia Bytom - Hutnik	2:0 ✺
16.10.24	Skra Częstochowa - Polonia Bytom	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
06.02.24	Polonia Bytom - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0
05.07.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Polonia Bytom	2:0
25.02.17	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Polonia Bytom	0:2
21.01.17	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Polonia Bytom	0:1
Polish Division 2 - West
10.05.14	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Polonia Bytom	0:0
Club Friendly
10.07.13	Polonia Bytom - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:2
30.01.13	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Polonia Bytom	1:0

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