Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 5 July 2024, Friday

Location: Sportanlage Ravelsbach (Ravelsbach)


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		St. Pölten

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	3.6	2.15	Watch
	3.17	3.5	2.06
	3.1	3.63	2.04	Watch
	3	3.6	2
	3.07	3.62	2.02	Watch
	3	3.6	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.82)	3.59 ↓ (4)	2.07 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
30.1%

Draw
25.6%

St. Pölten
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

22.7%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

22.5%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zagłębie Sosnowiec's performance.

St. Pölten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Pölten might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zagłębie Sosnowiec that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pölten than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Pölten could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - St. Pölten Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Bilinski K. ⚽,
33', 2 - 1, Agbor E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 2 - 2, ⚽,
78', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Zagłębie Sosnowiec is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches St. Pölten is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

St. Pölten could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Zagłębie Sosnowiec have a series of guest games.

In this match St. Pölten is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Club Friendly
02.07.24	Amstetten - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:5 ✺
29.06.24	Hradec Králové - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
26.05.24	Chrobry Głogów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:0 ✺
18.05.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Miedź Legnica	1:2 ✺
12.05.24	Arka Gdynia - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTLLL
- SKN St. Pölten
Club Friendly
02.07.24	St. Pölten - Sparta Prague B	2:0 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
25.05.24	Horn - St. Pölten	1:3 ✺
20.05.24	St. Pölten - Bregenz	2:2 ✺
17.05.24	Dornbirn - St. Pölten	3:1 ✺
10.05.24	St. Pölten - Ried	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWTLL

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