Match Info

AFRICA: CAF Confederation Cup - Play Offs - Final

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Cairo International Stadium (Cairo)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Sport TV3


	Zamalek		Berkane

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.9	Watch
	1.93	3.1	3.5
	2	3.3	3.75	Watch
	1.94	3.15	3.87
	1.94	2.95	3.87
	1.95	3.2	3.5
	1.84	3.32	4.22	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.6)	3.15 ↓ (3.4)	3.81 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamalek
47.1%

Draw
29%

Berkane
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

26.7%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

27.7%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamalek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zamalek's form might have worsened.

Berkane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Berkane's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamalek than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zamalek, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berkane than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Berkane, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Zamalek - Berkane Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Zamalek will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Berkane will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Awad M. (G) 4. Gaber O. (C) 24. Mathlouthi H. 2. Abdelmaguid H. 13. Ahmed Fatouh 39. Shehata M. 8. Dunga N. 25. Zizo 21. Hamdi A. 7. Ndiaye I. 30. Jaziri S.	12. Akbi Hamiani H. (G) 13. Tahif A. 4. Dayo I. (C) 15. Assal A. 19. El Moussaoui H. 10. El Morabit M. 8. Khairi A. 17. Labhiri Y. 7. El Fahli Y. 30. Bassene P. 21. Mehri Y.
Substitutes
9. Akinyoola S. 31. Hamed Y. 33. Kamal Z. 19. Naser M. 14. Obama Y. 18. Sayed A. 11. Shalaby M. 16. Sobhi M. (G) 38. Yasser M.	6. Camara M. 2. El Maswab A. 22. El Ouaad A. (G) 23. Gnolou C. 35. Hajji R. 18. Kisinda T. 39. Ouattara Dj. 29. Semmoumy H. 11. Zghoudi Y.
Coaches
Gomes J. M.	Chaabani M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Hamdi A. ⚽, Zizo (A),
41', Hamdi A. ↓, Obama Y. ↑,
45+6', El Fahli Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Tahif A. ↓, Semmoumy H. ↑,
55', Semmoumy H. 🟨,
56', Shehata M. 🟨,
60', Shehata M. ↓, Kamal Z. ↑,
66', Mehri Y. ↓, Ouattara Dj. ↑,
66', El Morabit M. ↓, Hajji R. ↑,
69', Ndiaye I. ↓, Shalaby M. ↑,
74', Mathlouthi H. 🟨,
78', El Fahli Y. ↓, Kisinda T. ↑,
78', Bassene P. ↓, Zghoudi Y. ↑,
79', Ahmed Fatouh 🟨,
83', Awad M. 🟨,
86', Dayo I. 🟨,
90+3', El Moussaoui H. 🟥,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Berkane have a series of home games.

In this match Zamalek is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Zamalek won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Zamalek won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamalek
CAF Confederation Cup
12.05.24	Berkane - Zamalek	2:1 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
05.05.24	Smouha - Zamalek	1:0 ✺
02.05.24	Zamalek - National Bank of Egypt	1:0 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
28.04.24	Dreams - Zamalek	0:3 ✺
21.04.24	Zamalek - Dreams	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWT
- RSB Berkane
CAF Confederation Cup
12.05.24	Berkane - Zamalek	2:1 ✺
Moroccan Botola
07.05.24	Berkane - Moghreb Tétouan	3:2 ✺
Moroccan Coupe du Trone
02.05.24	Berkane - FAR Rabat	2:3 penalties ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
28.04.24	Berkane - USM Alger	Berkane awarded ✺
21.04.24	USM Alger - Berkane	Berkane awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWL??

Latest Head to Head

CAF Confederation Cup
12.05.24	Berkane - Zamalek	2:1
26.05.19	Zamalek - Berkane	2:0 penalties
19.05.19	Berkane - Zamalek	1:0

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