Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Zamudio		Aurrerá de Vitoria

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	2.06	3.09	3.59
	2.06	3.17	3.51	Watch
	2	3.1	3.4
	2.08	3.38	3.43
	2	3.33	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (2)	3.2 ↓ (3.27)	3.43 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamudio
44.7%

Draw
28.6%

Aurrerá de Vitoria
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

27.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

28.5%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Aurrerá de Vitoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamudio than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá de Vitoria than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Zamudio - Aurrerá de Vitoria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Ortega E. 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
72', 1 - 0, ⚽,
81', 2 - 0, ⚽,
85', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 6).

In recent matches, Zamudio has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aurrerá de Vitoria is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Zamudio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zamudio might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zamudio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Aurrera de Vitoria	5	4	1	0	10:4	6	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamudio SD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
07.02.26	Leioa - Zamudio	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Zamudio - Eibar C	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Añorga - Zamudio	4:1 ✺
18.01.26	Zamudio - Durango	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Zamudio - Aretxabaleta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLWW
- Aurrerá de Vitoria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
07.02.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Santurtzi	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Real Sociedad C - Aurrerá de Vitoria	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Pasaia	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Lagun Onak - Aurrerá de Vitoria	3:0 ✺
10.01.26	Deusto - Aurrerá de Vitoria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
23.12.17	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Zamudio	1:1

Zamudio - Aurrerá de Vitoria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide