Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Zamudio		Durango

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.78	2.58
	2.83	2.83	2.63
	2.8	2.63	2.63
	2.76	2.76	2.59
	2.66	3	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (2.79)	2.8 ↑ (2.71)	2.59 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamudio
32.7%

Draw
32.3%

Durango
34.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.2%

33.2%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

33%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamudio than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durango than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Zamudio - Durango Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Zamudio has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Durango is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Durango may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Durango	8	3	4	1	13:10	3	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamudio SD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
11.01.26	Zamudio - Aretxabaleta	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Zarautz KE - Zamudio	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Santurtzi - Zamudio	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Zamudio - Real Sociedad C	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Pasaia - Zamudio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLTT
- SCD Durango
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
11.01.26	Santurtzi - Durango	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Durango - Real Sociedad C	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Pasaia - Durango	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Durango - Lagun Onak	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Deusto - Durango	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TLWWW

Zamudio - Durango