Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 24

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Zapotlanejo		Tuzos UAZ

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.8	2.45
	2.15	4.07	2.45
	2.2	3.8	2.5
	2.18	3.98	2.48
	2.57	4	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.65)	3.93 ↓ (4.1)	2.39 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 11.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zapotlanejo
39.7%

Draw
22.8%

Tuzos UAZ
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

22.2%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

22.7%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zapotlanejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zapotlanejo's performance.

Tuzos UAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tuzos UAZ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zapotlanejo than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zapotlanejo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuzos UAZ than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tuzos UAZ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zapotlanejo - Tuzos UAZ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
59', 3 - 0, ⚽,
61', 4 - 0, ⚽,
82', 4 - 1, ⚽,
86', 4 - 2, ⚽,
88', 🟥,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 11).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Zapotlanejo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zapotlanejo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACF Zapotlanejo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.03.26	Zapotlanejo - Alacranes de Durango	0:3 ✺
07.03.26	La Piedad - Zapotlanejo	5:4 penalties ✺
21.02.26	Leones Negros 2 - Zapotlanejo	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Zapotlanejo - Los Cabos United	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Tigres de Álica - Zapotlanejo	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLWL
- Tuzos UAZ
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
18.03.26	Tuzos UAZ - Tecos FC	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Tuzos UAZ - Tritones Vallarta	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Los Cabos United - Tuzos UAZ	3:2 ✺
06.03.26	Alacranes de Durango - Tuzos UAZ	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	La Piedad - Tuzos UAZ	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
08.11.25	Tuzos UAZ - Zapotlanejo	3:2

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