Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 29

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Zarautz KE		Real Sociedad C

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.3	2.28
	2.69	3.51	2.34
	2.66	3.32	2.47	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.25
	2.86	3.43	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.6)	3.35 ↑ (3.2)	2.34 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zarautz KE
33.5%

Draw
27.3%

Real Sociedad C
39.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.1%

28.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

27.7%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zarautz KE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Real Sociedad C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zarautz KE than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad C than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Zarautz KE - Real Sociedad C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Zarautz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Real Sociedad C has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zarautz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Real Sociedad C	8	3	3	2	13:12	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zarautz KE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.03.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Zarautz KE	1:3 ✺
19.03.26	Zarautz KE - Pasaia	0:3 ✺
14.03.26	Leioa - Zarautz KE	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Zarautz KE - Lagun Onak	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Eibar C - Zarautz KE	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLLTL
- Real Sociedad C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
29.03.26	Real Sociedad C - Pasaia	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Lagun Onak - Real Sociedad C	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Real Sociedad C - Deusto	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Portugalete - Real Sociedad C	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	Real Sociedad C - San Ignacio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
23.11.25	Real Sociedad C - Zarautz KE	2:1

Zarautz KE - Real Sociedad C