Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 27

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday


	Zarautz KE		Pasaia

	1	X	2
	2.48	3	2.62
	2.7	2.97	2.74
	2.78	2.78	2.77	Watch
	2.63	2.8	2.63
	2.63	2.81	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.36)	2.87 ↓ (3.12)	2.68 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zarautz KE
34.4%

Draw
31.7%

Pasaia
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28.8%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

28.4%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zarautz KE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Pasaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zarautz KE than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pasaia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Zarautz KE - Pasaia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
58', 0 - 1, ⚽,
64', 0 - 2, ⚽,
71', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent form of Zarautz has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pasaia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zarautz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Pasaia	5	3	1	1	7:6	1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zarautz KE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
14.03.26	Leioa - Zarautz KE	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Zarautz KE - Lagun Onak	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Eibar C - Zarautz KE	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Zarautz KE - Deusto	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Añorga - Zarautz KE	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTLWL
- Pasaia KE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
14.03.26	Pasaia - Lagun Onak	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Deusto - Pasaia	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Pasaia - Portugalete	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	San Ignacio - Pasaia	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Pasaia - Derio	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
08.11.25	Pasaia - Zarautz KE	0:4

Zarautz KE - Pasaia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide