Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 25

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Portugalete		Real Sociedad C

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.15	6.9
	1.4	4.28	7.48
	1.4	4.2	7.39	Watch
	1.42	4.35	7.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.39)	4.25 ↑ (4.1)	7.3 (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portugalete
65.8%

Draw
21.6%

Real Sociedad C
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

22.2%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

21%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Real Sociedad C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad C than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Portugalete - Real Sociedad C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, ⚽,
65', 2 - 0, ⚽,
82', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 3.

Portugalete has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Real Sociedad C has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Real Sociedad C may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Portugalete is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Portugalete will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Portugalete won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Real Sociedad C	5	2	2	1	10:8	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Portugalete
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.02.26	Pasaia - Portugalete	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Portugalete - Lagun Onak	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Deusto - Portugalete	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Zarautz KE - Portugalete	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Portugalete - San Ignacio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWWW
- Real Sociedad C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
01.03.26	Real Sociedad C - San Ignacio	0:0 ✺
13.02.26	Real Sociedad C - Touring KE	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Alavés C - Real Sociedad C	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Real Sociedad C - Aurrerá de Vitoria	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Leioa - Real Sociedad C	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
26.10.25	Real Sociedad C - Portugalete	0:1
15.01.20	Portugalete - Real Sociedad C	1:0
25.08.19	Real Sociedad C - Portugalete	1:1
24.03.19	Portugalete - Real Sociedad C	3:1
03.11.18	Real Sociedad C - Portugalete	3:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
29.03.18	Portugalete - Real Sociedad C	1:0

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