Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 27

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Zarya		Nart Cherkessk

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.34	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.36)	3.34 ↑ (3.2)	2.72 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zarya
38.3%

Draw
27.7%

Nart Cherkessk
34%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.9%

28.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

28.8%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zarya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Nart Cherkessk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zarya than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nart Cherkessk than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Zarya - Nart Cherkessk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 2)

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 10th and 6th).

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Zarya could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Zarya has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Nart Cherkessk	27	12	4	11	37:27	10	40
10	Lugansk	27	8	6	13	36:38	-2	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zarya Rostov
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
03.10.26	FC Sevastopol - Zarya	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Chayka 2 - Zarya	1:5 ✺
12.09.26	Rostov 2 - Zarya	0:5 ✺
05.09.26	Zarya - Shakhtyor Taganrog	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Zarya - Astrakhan	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 LWWTW
- Nart Cherkessk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
03.10.26	Nart Cherkessk - Dynamo Makhachkala 2	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Nart Cherkessk	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Nart Cherkessk - Angust Nazran	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Nart Cherkessk - Druzhba Maykop	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Spartak Nalchik - Nart Cherkessk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
18.04.26	Nart Cherkessk - Zarya	0:0

Zarya - Nart Cherkessk