Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 10

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska		Zawisza Bydgoszcz

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.7	1.92
	3.22	3.51	1.96
	1.60	3.59	5.45	Watch
	3.18	3.62	1.97	Watch
	2.8	3.66	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.85)	3.62 ↓ (3.78)	2.68 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
35.5%

Draw
27.4%

Zawisza Bydgoszcz
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

24.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

24%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Zawisza Bydgoszcz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zawisza Bydgoszcz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zawisza Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zawisza Bydgoszcz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Zawisza Bydgoszcz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Kona M. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Środa Wielkopolska won 3.

In recent matches, Środa Wielkopolska has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zawisza is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Zawisza has had a series of home games.

Zawisza might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Środa Wielkopolska won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1.3:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Środa Wielkopolska won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 1.3:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
Polish Cup
23.09.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.09.25	Unia Swarzędz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Lipno Stęszew	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Lech Poznań 2	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWTL
- Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - GKS Tychy	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
20.09.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	5:0 ✺
12.09.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	3:0 ✺
05.09.25	Unia Swarzędz - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Kluczevia Stargard	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
06.04.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:2
07.09.24	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	3:2
18.05.24	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	4:0
28.10.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:2
14.05.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:0
08.10.22	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:3
07.05.22	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:8

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