Match Info

Date: 16 October 2020, Friday


	Zenit Irkutsk		Murom

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	2.85
	2.2	3.2	2.9
	2.21	3.05	2.85
	2.23	3.27	3.05
	2.28	3.2	2.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.2)	3.19 ↓ (3.25)	2.92 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zenit Irkutsk
40.6%

Draw
28.4%

Murom
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

27.4%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

19.9%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zenit Irkutsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Murom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenit Irkutsk than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zenit Irkutsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murom than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Murom could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zenit Irkutsk - Murom Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 9).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zenit Irkutsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
13.10.20	Zenit Irkutsk - Lokomotiv-Kazanka	1:3 ✺
09.10.20	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Zenit Irkutsk	2:0 ✺
06.10.20	Zenit 2 - Zenit Irkutsk	4:0 ✺
Russian Cup
30.09.20	Zenit Irkutsk - Nizhny Novgorod	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
27.09.20	Zenit Irkutsk - Dynamo 2 Moscow	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW
- FC Murom
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
13.10.20	Chita - Murom	1:0 ✺
09.10.20	Murom - Volga Tver	1:2 ✺
03.10.20	Olimp Dolgoprudny - Murom	3:1 ✺
26.09.20	Murom - Rodina Moscow	1:1 ✺
12.09.20	Murom - Zenit 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLTW

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