Match Info

Date: 9 October 2020, Friday


	Zvezda St. Petersburg		Zenit Irkutsk

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.55
	2.3	3.25	2.7
	2.07	3.2	3
	2.37	3.44	2.84
	2.42	3.2	2.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.24)	3.26 ↑ (3.1)	2.77 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zvezda St. Petersburg
39%

Draw
28%

Zenit Irkutsk
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

28%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

19.7%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zvezda St. Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Zenit Irkutsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zvezda St. Petersburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit Irkutsk than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zenit Irkutsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zvezda St. Petersburg - Zenit Irkutsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 12).

Recent matches Zvezda St. Petersburg is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zenit Irkutsk is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zvezda St. Petersburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Zenit Irkutsk have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zvezda St. Petersburg
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
06.10.20	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Chita	5:0 ✺
27.09.20	Volga Tver - Zvezda St. Petersburg	0:0 ✺
20.09.20	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Olimp Dolgoprudny	0:1 ✺
12.09.20	Lokomotiv-Kazanka - Zvezda St. Petersburg	4:1 ✺
06.09.20	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Murom	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTLLT
- Zenit Irkutsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
06.10.20	Zenit 2 - Zenit Irkutsk	4:0 ✺
Russian Cup
30.09.20	Zenit Irkutsk - Nizhny Novgorod	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
27.09.20	Zenit Irkutsk - Dynamo 2 Moscow	1:0 ✺
24.09.20	Zenit Irkutsk - Leningradets	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
15.09.20	Zenit Irkutsk - Khimki	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL

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