Match Info

CHINA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Date: 9 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre (Shenzhen)


	Shenzhen		Shanghai Shenhua

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.8	1.62	Watch
	5.25	3.6	1.6
	5.6	3.75	1.57
	5.83	3.84	1.62
	5.5	3.5	1.57
	5.8	3.85	1.6
	5.4	3.75	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.59 ↓ (5.79)	3.73 ↓ (4.14)	1.6 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen
16.7%

Draw
25%

Shanghai Shenhua
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

22.3%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

21.6%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shanghai Shenhua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.4%	10.5%	42.1%

Shenzhen - Shanghai Shenhua Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Shenzhen will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shenzhen: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League).

Shenzhen has the most likely position - 15 (100%), project points - 21, currently - 21, already of relegated.

Shanghai Shenhua has the most likely position - 13 (100%), project points - 30, currently - 30, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for acl.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shenzhen won 0.

Shenzhen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shanghai Shenhua is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Shenzhen have a series of home games.

In this match Shanghai Shenhua is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Shenzhen won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Shenzhen won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen FC
Chinese Super League
05.05.23	Shenzhen - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	0:1 ✺
30.04.23	Shenzhen - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:1 ✺
26.04.23	Shenzhen - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:2 ✺
22.04.23	Shanghai Port - Shenzhen	3:2 ✺
16.04.23	Shenzhen - Qingdao Hainiu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTLLW
- Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese Super League
05.05.23	Shanghai Shenhua - Dalian Pro	1:0 ✺
30.04.23	Shanghai Port - Shanghai Shenhua	1:1 ✺
26.04.23	Shanghai Shenhua - Changchun Yatai	1:0 ✺
21.04.23	Meizhou Hakka - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1 ✺
16.04.23	Shanghai Shenhua - Shandong Taishan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
30.12.22	Shanghai Shenhua - Shenzhen	2:0
09.10.22	Shenzhen - Shanghai Shenhua	0:0
Chinese FA Cup
29.10.21	Shenzhen - Shanghai Shenhua	0:0
24.10.21	Shanghai Shenhua - Shenzhen	1:0
Chinese Super League
04.09.20	Shenzhen - Shanghai Shenhua	0:0
30.07.20	Shanghai Shenhua - Shenzhen	3:2
26.09.19	Shanghai Shenhua - Shenzhen	2:1

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