Match Info

Date: 21 September 2022, Wednesday


	Zibo Cuju		Liaoning Tieren

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.4	1.98
	3	3.35	2.1
	3	3.6	2.01
	3.1	3.34	2.29
	3.25	3.5	1.91
	3.02	3.22	2.27
	3.1	3.4	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (1.56)	3.4 ↓ (3.78)	2.09 ↓ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zibo Cuju
29.6%

Draw
26.8%

Liaoning Tieren
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

24.2%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

23.3%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zibo Cuju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zibo Cuju's form might have worsened.

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liaoning Tieren's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zibo Cuju than the current prediction. (+31.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zibo Cuju, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-27%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liaoning Tieren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.3%	10.5%	34.2%

Zibo Cuju - Liaoning Tieren Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Zibo Cuju will win (votes: 21 - 55.3%). Liaoning Tieren will win (votes: 13 - 34.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zibo Cuju: 39.5% – 71.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zibo Cuju won 4.

Zibo Cuju is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shenyang Urban is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zibo Cuju will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Zibo Cuju won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Zibo Cuju won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zibo Cuju
Chinese Jia League
17.09.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Zibo Cuju	1:2 ✺
10.09.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Zibo Cuju	1:0 ✺
06.09.22	Zibo Cuju - Nanjing City	0:0 ✺
02.09.22	Liaoning Tieren - Zibo Cuju	0:2 ✺
29.08.22	Zibo Cuju - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLTWW
- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Jia League
16.09.22	Liaoning Tieren - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Liaoning Tieren	2:1 ✺
06.09.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Liaoning Tieren	0:1 ✺
02.09.22	Liaoning Tieren - Zibo Cuju	0:2 ✺
30.08.22	Nanjing City - Liaoning Tieren	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
02.09.22	Liaoning Tieren - Zibo Cuju	0:2
02.08.21	Liaoning Tieren - Zibo Cuju	0:1
12.07.21	Zibo Cuju - Liaoning Tieren	2:1
Chinese Yi League
03.08.19	Liaoning Tieren - Zibo Cuju	2:0
27.04.19	Zibo Cuju - Liaoning Tieren	1:0
Chinese FA Cup
30.03.19	Zibo Cuju - Liaoning Tieren	3:0

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