Match Info

Date: 6 September 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Shaanxi Changan Athletic		Liaoning Tieren

	1	X	2
	1.26	5	9.25
	1.26	4.7	9.4
	1.24	5.7	12.79
	1.24	4.6	12
	1.26	5.15	10.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.5)	5.03 ↑ (4.13)	10.84 ↑ (6.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shaanxi Changan Athletic
73.3%

Draw
18.2%

Liaoning Tieren
8.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.1%

22.5%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

21.8%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shaanxi Changan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shaanxi Changan Athletic's performance.

Liaoning Tieren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liaoning Tieren might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shaanxi Changan Athletic than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shaanxi Changan Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liaoning Tieren could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	27.3%	9.1%

Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Liaoning Tieren Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Shaanxi Changan will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Liaoning Tieren will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shaanxi Changan: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shaanxi Chang'an won 3.

Shaanxi Chang'an is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shenyang Urban is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shenyang Urban could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Shaanxi Chang'an is certain favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Shaanxi Chang'an won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Shaanxi Chang'an won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shaanxi Changan Athletic
Chinese Jia League
02.09.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	0:2 ✺
29.08.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.08.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:1 ✺
Chinese Jia League
17.08.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	0:3 ✺
13.08.22	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLWW
- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Jia League
02.09.22	Liaoning Tieren - Zibo Cuju	0:2 ✺
30.08.22	Nanjing City - Liaoning Tieren	2:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.08.22	Kunshan - Liaoning Tieren	4:2 ✺
Chinese Jia League
18.08.22	Liaoning Tieren - Jiangxi Lushan	2:0 ✺
14.08.22	Liaoning Tieren - Nantong Zhiyun	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
18.12.21	Liaoning Tieren - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	1:4
04.12.21	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Liaoning Tieren	1:0
04.10.20	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Liaoning Tieren	1:0
16.09.20	Liaoning Tieren - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	1:1
Chinese Yi League
22.09.18	Liaoning Tieren - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	1:0
16.06.18	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Liaoning Tieren	1:1
05.08.17	Liaoning Tieren - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	3:1

Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Liaoning Tieren