Match Info

Date: 26 October 2022, Wednesday


	Zibo Cuju		Suzhou Dongwu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.5	3.75	1.49
	5.1	3.6	1.57
	1.98	3.05	3.35
	7.45	4	1.46
	6.5	3.7	1.47
	6.85	4.15	1.44	Watch
	2.06	3.2	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (2.04)	3.64 ↑ (3.16)	2.05 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zibo Cuju
20.6%

Draw
28.6%

Suzhou Dongwu
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28.8%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.6%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zibo Cuju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zibo Cuju's form might have worsened.

Suzhou Dongwu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Suzhou Dongwu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zibo Cuju than the current prediction. (+23.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zibo Cuju, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (-24%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Suzhou Dongwu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	33.3%	60%

Zibo Cuju - Suzhou Dongwu Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Zibo Cuju will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Suzhou Dongwu will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Suzhou Dongwu: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 7).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Zibo Cuju will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Zibo Cuju won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Zibo Cuju won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zibo Cuju
Chinese Jia League
28.09.22	Zibo Cuju - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	1:3 ✺
25.09.22	Nanjing City - Zibo Cuju	2:3 ✺
21.09.22	Zibo Cuju - Liaoning Tieren	0:0 ✺
17.09.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Zibo Cuju	1:2 ✺
10.09.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Zibo Cuju	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTWL
- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League
29.09.22	Liaoning Tieren - Suzhou Dongwu	3:1 ✺
24.09.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Suzhou Dongwu	1:0 ✺
20.09.22	Nanjing City - Suzhou Dongwu	1:2 ✺
17.09.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Liaoning Tieren	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
11.08.21	Suzhou Dongwu - Zibo Cuju	1:1
22.07.21	Zibo Cuju - Suzhou Dongwu	1:3

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