Match Info

Date: 25 September 2022, Sunday


	Nanjing City		Zibo Cuju

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.6	5.25
	1.6	3.4	5.3
	1.57	3.55	5.2
	1.57	3.73	6.28
	1.57	3.4	5.5
	1.58	3.72	5.55
	1.6	3.55	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (2.16)	3.56 ↑ (3.13)	5.47 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nanjing City
57.8%

Draw
25.6%

Zibo Cuju
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

29.1%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29.9%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nanjing City's performance.

Zibo Cuju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zibo Cuju might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nanjing City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zibo Cuju than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zibo Cuju could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	36.4%	18.2%

Nanjing City - Zibo Cuju Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nanjing City will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Zibo Cuju will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nanjing City: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Nanjing City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Nanjing City have a series of guest games.

In this match Nanjing City is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nanjing City won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Nanjing City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
20.09.22	Nanjing City - Suzhou Dongwu	1:2 ✺
16.09.22	Liaoning Tieren - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Nanjing City	2:3 ✺
06.09.22	Zibo Cuju - Nanjing City	0:0 ✺
03.09.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Nanjing City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTWTT
- Zibo Cuju
Chinese Jia League
21.09.22	Zibo Cuju - Liaoning Tieren	0:0 ✺
17.09.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Zibo Cuju	1:2 ✺
10.09.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Zibo Cuju	1:0 ✺
06.09.22	Zibo Cuju - Nanjing City	0:0 ✺
02.09.22	Liaoning Tieren - Zibo Cuju	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
06.09.22	Zibo Cuju - Nanjing City	0:0
21.12.21	Zibo Cuju - Nanjing City	2:1
04.12.21	Nanjing City - Zibo Cuju	2:0

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