Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Liv Bona Dea Arena (Baku)

Referee: Spasjonnikovs V. (Lat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go
Israel	Sport 4


	Zira		Omonia

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.6	2.2	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.25
	2.9	3.4	2.3	Watch
	3.15	3.31	2.34
	3.03	3.38	2.27
	3.14	3.53	2.3	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.45)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)	2.28 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zira
31.5%

Draw
27.4%

Omonia
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

26.1%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

25.5%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Omonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zira than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omonia than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	23.5%	64.7%

Zira - Omonia Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Zira will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Omonia will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Omonia: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Tiago Silva (G) 32. Aliyev Q. (C) 4. Ruan Renato 3. Mutsinzi A. 7. Isayev M. 15. Zebli P. 29. Nuriyev C. 6. Kuliyev E. 90. Volkovi D. 19. Soumah S. 23. Raphael Utzig	40. Fabiano Freitas (C) 2. Dionkou A. 5. Coulibaly S. 4. Helander F. 24. Khammas A. 80. Erakovic N. 20. Maric M. 11. Ewandro 10. Atzili O. 9. Kakoullis A. 21. Simic V.
Substitutes
5. Acka S. 11. Ahmadzada R. 14. Alicanov E. 13. Bayramov A. (G) 16. Bayramov F. 99. Hashimov S. (G) 28. Ibrahim A. 10. Papunashvili G.	99. Alioum S. 74. Andreou P. 31. Kousoulos I. 98. Kyriakidis C. (G) 22. Lang A. 17. Masouras G. 33. Musialowski M. 85. Neophytou A. 81. Nikolaou A. 7. Semedo W. 14. Stepinski M. 23. Uzoho F. (G)
Coaches
Sadiqov R.	Dambrauskas V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Ewandro 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Volkovi D. ↓, Ahmadzada R. ↑,
61', Zebli P. ↓, Ibrahim A. ↑,
61', Nuriyev C. ↓, Papunashvili G. ↑,
63', Dionkou A. ↓, Masouras G. ↑,
63', Erakovic N. ↓, Kousoulos I. ↑,
63', Simic V. ↓, Alioum S. ↑,
65', Aliyev Q. 🟨,
73', Coulibaly S. ↓, Lang A. ↑,
76', Kuliyev E. ↓, Alicanov E. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Raphael Utzig ⚽, Isayev M. (A),
80', Ewandro ↓, Musialowski M. ↑,
87', Isayev M. ↓, Bayramov F. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Liv Bona Dea Arena. 1st leg result: 0-6.

Recent matches Zira is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Omonia is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Omonia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zira won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zira FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
25.08.24	Zira - Shamakhi	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Omonia - Zira	6:0 ✺
15.08.24	Zira - Osijek	3:2 penalties ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
11.08.24	Sabah - Zira	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Osijek - Zira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LLWWT
- Omonia Nicosia
Cypriot First Division
25.08.24	Omonia - Ethnikos Achna	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Omonia - Zira	6:0 ✺
14.08.24	Videoton - Omonia	0:2 ✺
08.08.24	Omonia - Videoton	1:0 ✺
01.08.24	Torpedo Kutaisi - Omonia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Omonia - Zira	6:0

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