Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Neo GSP Stadium (Nicosia)

Referee: Frischer J. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go


	Omonia		Zira

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	5	Watch
	1.55	3.8	5.5
	1.55	4	5.5	Watch
	1.56	3.92	6.15
	1.56	4.04	5.6
	1.65	3.6	4.6
	1.62	4	5.92	Watch
	1.55	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.86)	3.92 ↑ (3.55)	5.47 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omonia
59.2%

Draw
23.8%

Zira
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

26%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

24.6%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Omonia's performance.

Zira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omonia than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Omonia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zira than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.8%	13.8%	3.4%

Omonia - Zira Predictions

Users Predictions: Omonia will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 98.67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Fabiano Freitas (C) 2. Dionkou A. 5. Coulibaly S. 30. Panagiotou N. 24. Khammas A. 80. Erakovic N. 20. Maric M. 11. Ewandro 21. Simic V. 14. Stepinski M. 7. Semedo W.	97. Tiago Silva (G) 32. Aliyev Q. (C) 3. Mutsinzi A. 4. Ruan Renato 21. Hacyly H. 6. Kuliyev E. 15. Zebli P. 11. Ahmadzada R. 7. Isayev M. 90. Volkovi D. 23. Raphael Utzig
Substitutes
99. Alioum S. 10. Atzili O. 76. Charalambidis K. 4. Helander F. 9. Kakoullis A. 31. Kousoulos I. 98. Kyriakidis C. (G) 22. Lang A. 17. Masouras G. 33. Musialowski M. 85. Neophytou A. 23. Uzoho F. (G)	5. Acka S. 14. Alicanov E. 13. Bayramov A. (G) 16. Bayramov F. 99. Hashimov S. (G) 28. Ibrahim A. 18. Martins Junior 29. Nuriyev C. 10. Papunashvili G. 19. Soumah S.
Coaches
Dambrauskas V.	Sadiqov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Khammas A. ⚽,
27', Kuliyev E. 🟨,
31', Semedo W. (Pen),
31', Tiago Silva 🟨,
33', Ruan Renato 🟨,
34', 2 - 0, Semedo W. (Pen),
45+1', 3 - 0, Stepinski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Ahmadzada R. ↓, Martins Junior ↑,
46', Isayev M. ↓, Bayramov F. ↑,
46', Hacyly H. ↓, Nuriyev C. ↑,
54', 4 - 0, Stepinski M. ⚽,
58', Kuliyev E. ↓, Ibrahim A. ↑,
60', 5 - 0, Ewandro ⚽,
63', Ewandro ↓, Atzili O. ↑,
69', Zebli P. 🟨,
70', 6 - 0, Semedo W. ⚽, Atzili O. (A),
73', Stepinski M. ↓, Kakoullis A. ↑,
73', Maric M. ↓, Charalambidis K. ↑,
73', Simic V. ↓, Kousoulos I. ↑,
75', Volkovi D. ↓, Acka S. ↑,
82', Semedo W. ↓, Alioum S. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.

Zira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Omonia is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Omonia to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omonia Nicosia
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.24	Videoton - Omonia	0:2 ✺
08.08.24	Omonia - Videoton	1:0 ✺
01.08.24	Torpedo Kutaisi - Omonia	1:2 ✺
25.07.24	Omonia - Torpedo Kutaisi	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.24	Omonia - AEK Athens	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWT
- Zira FK
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Zira - Osijek	3:2 penalties ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
11.08.24	Sabah - Zira	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Osijek - Zira	1:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
04.08.24	Zira - Səbail	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	DAC Dunajská Streda - Zira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28 WWTWW

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