Match Info

Azerbaijan Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Zira Stadium (Zira)


	Zira		Turan Tovuz

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.28	2.88	3.1	Watch
	2.22	2.97	3.3
	2.48	2.84	3.07	Watch
	2.3	2.7	3.1
	2.27	2.93	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.16)	2.86 ↑ (2.63)	3.14 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zira
39.3%

Draw
31.7%

Turan Tovuz
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

33.8%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

32.7%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Turan Tovuz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zira than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turan Tovuz than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Zira - Turan Tovuz Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Zira will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +1 - Turan (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Turan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Tiago Silva (G) 26. Acka S. 32. Aliyev Q. (C) 20. Djibrilla I. 17. Gomis I. 30. Guima 93. Konate B. 28. Mickels L. 5. Mutsinzi A. 4. Ruan Renato 9. Volkovi D.	1. Baklov O. (G) 15. Hackman E. (C) 32. Hurtado H. 90. Jo Batista 2. Mampassi M. 10. Nacafov K. 19. Olabe R. 17. Sadykhov R. 23. Serrano A. 7. Silva J. 99. Wadji I.
Substitutes
14. Alicanov E. 22. Aydin E. 13. Bayramov A. (G) 21. Hacyly H. 25. Henrique Gelain 8. Ibrahimli I. 11. Martins Junior 7. Muradov R. 41. Nazirov A. (G) 73. Nuriyev A. 29. Nuriyev C. 10. Papunashvili G.	4. Aliyev S. 9. Ginnelly J. 11. Guseynov A. 13. Haciyev M. (G) 88. Hadzhiyev F. 3. Henrique 29. Ozobic F. 41. Samok S. (G) 8. Tavares D. 6. Yusifli F.
Coaches
Sadiqov R.	Berdyev K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Jo Batista 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Mickels L. ↓, Aydin E. ↑,
65', Olabe R. 🟨,
70', Aydin E. 🟨,
70', Nacafov K. ↓, Ozobic F. ↑,
72', Gomis I. ↓, Ibrahimli I. ↑,
82', Volkovi D. ↓, Nuriyev A. ↑,
82', Djibrilla I. ↓, Henrique Gelain ↑,
85', Wadji I. ↓, Guseynov A. ↑,
86', Sadykhov R. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', Aliyev Q. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 2-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zira won 3.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Zira will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Zira won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Zira won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Zira - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 41.21%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zira FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
17.04.26	Zira - Neftchi Baku	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sabah - Zira	2:2 ✺
07.04.26	Zira - Shamakhi	1:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
03.04.26	Turan Tovuz - Zira	0:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
19.03.26	Karvan - Zira	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TTTWW
- Turan Tovuz
Azerbaijan Premier League
17.04.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Turan Tovuz	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Turan Tovuz - Sumgayit	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	İmişli - Turan Tovuz	1:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
03.04.26	Turan Tovuz - Zira	0:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
21.03.26	Turan Tovuz - Gabala	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Cup
03.04.26	Turan Tovuz - Zira	0:2
Azerbaijan Premier League
20.02.26	Turan Tovuz - Zira	2:0
08.11.25	Zira - Turan Tovuz	0:0
02.05.25	Zira - Turan Tovuz	1:0
04.03.25	Turan Tovuz - Zira	0:2
15.12.24	Zira - Turan Tovuz	0:0
06.10.24	Turan Tovuz - Zira	1:0

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