Match Info

Premier League - Round 25

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Yevlakh City Stadium (Yevlakh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Karvan		Zira

	1	X	2
	8.4	4.35	1.32	Watch
	11.67	4.69	1.33
	7.62	4.01	1.42	Watch
	8.5	4.2	1.33
	8.25	4.62	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.89 ↑ (6.66)	4.37 ↑ (3.93)	1.35 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karvan
10.4%

Draw
21.2%

Zira
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

23.1%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

22.3%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Zira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karvan than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zira than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Karvan - Zira Predictions

Users Predictions: Zira will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Goncalves Mateus P. L. (G) 6. Abdullayev V. (C) 21. Barker I. 4. Doyeni O. 8. Kings P. 20. Mickels J. 37. Ngwisani M. 5. Rustamov E. 2. Sno S. 11. Spence K. C. 19. Thompson G.	97. Tiago Silva (G) 19. Abdullazada R. 32. Aliyev Q. (C) 22. Aydin E. 30. Guima 25. Henrique Gelain 8. Ibrahimli I. 5. Mutsinzi A. 10. Papunashvili G. 4. Ruan Renato 9. Volkovi D.
Substitutes
25. Bulud A. (G) 14. Cahangirov U. 1. Ibrahimov K. (G) 13. Masimov V. 42. Qadirzada I. 16. Rustamli R. 33. Turabov E. 32. Yunuszada E.	26. Acka S. 14. Alicanov E. 13. Bayramov A. (G) 20. Djibrilla I. 17. Gomis I. 93. Konate B. 11. Martins Junior 28. Mickels L. 7. Muradov R. 41. Nazirov A. (G) 73. Nuriyev A. 29. Nuriyev C.
Coaches
Mammadov F.	Sadiqov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Abdullayev V. 🟨,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Henrique Gelain 🟨,
67', Abdullazada R. ↓, Nuriyev C. ↑,
67', Guima ↓, Konate B. ↑,
67', Papunashvili G. ↓, Nuriyev A. ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Nuriyev A. ⚽,
80', Kings P. ↓, Cahangirov U. ↑,
89', Barker I. ↓, Masimov V. ↑,
89', Abdullayev V. ↓, Rustamli R. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

Recent form of Karvan has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Zira's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Zira is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Karvan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Karvan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Zira	6	3	1	2	7:8	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karvan FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
13.03.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Karvan	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Karvan - Sumgayit	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Gabala - Karvan	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Karvan - Araz Naxçıvan	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Zira - Karvan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTTLL
- Zira FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
14.03.26	Zira - Qarabağ Agdam	1:3 ✺
09.03.26	Zira - Kapaz	2:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
03.03.26	Zira - Sumgayit	2:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
27.02.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Zira	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Turan Tovuz - Zira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
14.02.26	Zira - Karvan	1:0
01.11.25	Karvan - Zira	2:3

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