Match Info

Division 1 - Round 6

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stadion MZOS Znicz (Pruszków)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Znicz Pruszków		Wisła Kraków

	1	X	2
	6.25	5	1.4	Watch
	6.75	5	1.35
	5.7	4.65	1.44	Watch
	6.18	4.75	1.47
	7	4.8	1.33
	6.44	4.7	1.4
	5	4.1	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.19 ↑ (4.85)	4.71 ↑ (3.9)	1.43 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Znicz Pruszków
15%

Draw
19.7%

Wisła Kraków
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

23.7%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

23.9%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Znicz Pruszków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Wisła Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wisła Kraków's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wisła Kraków, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.7%	0%	91.3%

Znicz Pruszków - Wisła Kraków Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Wisła (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 - Znicz (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Wisła Kraków will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wisła Kraków will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Znicz (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Wisła (votes: 13 - 92.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Napieraj K. (G) 6. Pawlik M. 5. Jach J. 14. Okhronchuk V. 7. Sokol D. 20. Borecki M. 19. Karol M. 8. Proczek T. 17. Kazimierczak A. 11. Ciepiela B. 9. Majewski R. (C)	1. Broda K. (G) 2. Lelieveld J. 97. Biedrzycki W. 50. Kutwa M. 52. Krzyzanowski J. 8. Carbo M. 41. Duda K. 51. Kuziemka M. 7. Ertlthaler J. 10. Almeida Duarte F. F. P. 9. Rodado A. (C)
Substitutes
. Bak D. 2. Brysiak H. 99. Koprowski O. 24. Lorenc M. 21. Mak M. . Misztal P. (G) . Moskwik P. 90. Nowakowski J. 22. Tabara K.	5. Colley J. 29. Grujcic D. 12. Igbekeme J. 57. Kawala S. 26. Lasicki I. 28. Letkiewicz P. (G) 11. Nikaj A. 15. Staszak W. 19. Sukiennicki O.
Coaches
Struhar P.	Jop M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, Rodado A. (Pen),
22', 0 - 2, Krzyzanowski J. ⚽, Duda K. (A),
35', Ciepiela B. 🟨,
43', Biedrzycki W. 🟨,
45+1', Sokol D. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 3, Almeida Duarte F. F. P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Biedrzycki W. ↓, Lasicki I. ↑,
46', Karol M. ↓, Tabara K. ↑,
46', Ciepiela B. ↓, Lorenc M. ↑,
49', 0 - 4, Rodado A. ⚽, Kuziemka M. (A),
52', 0 - 5, Ertlthaler J. ⚽, Krzyzanowski J. (A),
60', Kazimierczak A. ↓, Bak D. ↑,
63', Almeida Duarte F. F. P. ↓, Sukiennicki O. ↑,
63', Ertlthaler J. ↓, Igbekeme J. ↑,
71', Rodado A. ↓, Kawala S. ↑,
72', Majewski R. ↓, Moskwik P. ↑,
78', 0 - 6, Igbekeme J. ⚽,
79', Duda K. ↓, Staszak W. ↑,
84', Borecki M. ↓, Nowakowski J. ↑,
86', 0 - 7, Kawala S. ⚽,

Preview

Znicz is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Wisła is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Wisła may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Wisła is the clear favorite.

We predict that Wisła will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Znicz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Znicz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 1
16.08.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Znicz Pruszków	4:1 ✺
10.08.25	Znicz Pruszków - Polonia Warsaw	1:4 ✺
01.08.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Znicz Pruszków	4:0 ✺
25.07.25	Znicz Pruszków - Stal Mielec	4:5 ✺
18.07.25	ŁKS Łódź - Znicz Pruszków	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Wisła Kraków
Polish Division 1
10.08.25	Wisła Kraków - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:2 ✺
04.08.25	GKS Tychy - Wisła Kraków	3:4 ✺
26.07.25	Wisła Kraków - ŁKS Łódź	5:0 ✺
20.07.25	Stal Mielec - Wisła Kraków	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Wisła Kraków - Ruch Chorzów	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
15.02.25	Wisła Kraków - Znicz Pruszków	0:1
04.08.24	Znicz Pruszków - Wisła Kraków	2:1
19.04.24	Znicz Pruszków - Wisła Kraków	2:3
07.10.23	Wisła Kraków - Znicz Pruszków	6:2

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