Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 4 November 2022, Friday

Location: Stadion MZOS Znicz (Pruszków)


	Znicz Pruszków		Siarka Tarnobrzeg

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	2.95
	2.15	3.15	2.95
	2.12	3.35	2.95
	2.23	3.23	3.18
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.12	3.38	3.02	Watch
	2.17	3.45	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.9)	3.29 ↓ (3.6)	3.01 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Znicz Pruszków
42.4%

Draw
27.5%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

25.9%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

24.6%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Znicz Pruszków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Znicz Pruszków's form might have worsened.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Siarka Tarnobrzeg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Znicz Pruszków, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Siarka Tarnobrzeg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	25%	58.3%

Znicz Pruszków - Siarka Tarnobrzeg Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Znicz will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Siarka Tarnobrzeg will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Siarka Tarnobrzeg: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Znicz won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Znicz is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Znicz won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Znicz won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 2
29.10.22	Znicz Pruszków - Hutnik	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Wisła Puławy - Znicz Pruszków	1:2 ✺
16.10.22	Znicz Pruszków - Lech Poznań 2	0:1 ✺
09.10.22	GKS Jastrzębie - Znicz Pruszków	1:0 ✺
01.10.22	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Znicz Pruszków	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLLW
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 2
30.10.22	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:0 ✺
22.10.22	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Stomil Olsztyn	0:1 ✺
15.10.22	Pogoń Siedlce - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:2 ✺
08.10.22	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - KKS Kalisz	1:2 ✺
01.10.22	Motor Lublin - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
16.07.22	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Znicz Pruszków	4:0
09.03.19	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Znicz Pruszków	2:2
22.08.18	Znicz Pruszków - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:2
12.05.18	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Znicz Pruszków	3:1
22.10.17	Znicz Pruszków - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:3
28.11.15	Znicz Pruszków - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:4
08.08.15	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Znicz Pruszków	1:1

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