Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadion MZOS Znicz (Pruszków)


	Znicz Pruszków		Lech Poznań 2

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	3.75
	1.9	3.3	3.3
	1.77	3.5	3.8
	1.76	3.74	4.26
	1.73	3.25	4.2
	1.71	3.65	4.15	Watch
	1.81	3.65	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.94)	3.51 ↑ (3.48)	3.92 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Znicz Pruszków
51%

Draw
25.8%

Lech Poznań 2
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

26.4%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

25.7%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Lech Poznań 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Znicz Pruszków - Lech Poznań 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Znicz won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Lech 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Znicz will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Znicz won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Znicz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 2
09.10.22	GKS Jastrzębie - Znicz Pruszków	1:0 ✺
01.10.22	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Znicz Pruszków	1:3 ✺
24.09.22	Znicz Pruszków - Stomil Olsztyn	0:2 ✺
17.09.22	Pogoń Siedlce - Znicz Pruszków	3:4 ✺
10.09.22	Znicz Pruszków - KKS Kalisz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWLWW
- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 2
09.10.22	Lech Poznań 2 - Śląsk Wrocław 2	0:4 ✺
05.10.22	Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Siedlce	1:2 ✺
01.10.22	Stomil Olsztyn - Lech Poznań 2	2:2 ✺
18.09.22	KKS Kalisz - Lech Poznań 2	2:2 ✺
10.09.22	Lech Poznań 2 - Motor Lublin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
09.03.22	Lech Poznań 2 - Znicz Pruszków	2:1
14.08.21	Znicz Pruszków - Lech Poznań 2	0:1
Polish Cup
04.08.21	Lech Poznań 2 - Znicz Pruszków	2:0 ET
Polish Division 2
14.04.21	Lech Poznań 2 - Znicz Pruszków	2:5
09.10.20	Znicz Pruszków - Lech Poznań 2	2:1
11.07.20	Znicz Pruszków - Lech Poznań 2	1:2
20.10.19	Lech Poznań 2 - Znicz Pruszków	0:1

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