Match Info

IRAN: Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 15

Date: 2 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Foolad Shahr Stadium (Isfahan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iran	Irib Isfahan TV


	Zob Ahan		Nassaji Mazandaran

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.7	3.75
	2.23	2.65	3.9
	2.29	2.3	4.61	Watch
	2.3	2.62	3.5
	2.09	2.8	4.05	Watch
	2.23	2.65	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2)	2.62 ↓ (2.7)	3.95 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zob Ahan
41.6%

Draw
35.1%

Nassaji Mazandaran
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

33.4%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

31.7%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zob Ahan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Nassaji Mazandaran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zob Ahan than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zob Ahan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nassaji Mazandaran than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	61.5%	15.4%

Zob Ahan - Nassaji Mazandaran Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Zob Ahan will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Nassaji will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jafari P. (G) 23. Azarpad M. 10. Tabrizi M. 7. Aliyari M. 5. Soleimanzadeh R. 69. Mosleh S. 63. Erie D. 40. Gerami F. 35. Chabradze G. 88. Shoushtari H. 70. Latifi O.	27. Luan Polli (G) 20. Sohrabian A. 6. Bagheri M. 68. Houshmand A. 3. Mohammadzadeh V. 88. Nemati S. 13. Mohammed M. 76. Reza Hosseini S. M. 11. Rezaei M. 14. Pakdel H. 96. Abbasi M.
Substitutes
20. Baghban H. 19. Ghazipour P. 2. Jeddi A. 79. Khaghani S. 14. Mokhtari P. . Nafari H. 12. Noushi Soufiani D. (G) 4. Qureshi M. 17. Shariatzadeh A. 28. Yamana B. 6. Yousefi F.	2. Aghaei S. 4. Janmaleki A. 8. Kalantari A. 9. Mamun M. 37. Moghaddam M. 98. Rezaei A. (G) 5. Samdaliri A. 55. Seifi M. 87. Sheikhirad A. 19. Tabar H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Erie D. 🟨,
36', Sohrabian A. ↓, Kalantari A. ↑,
40', Mohammed M. 🟨,
45+1', Houshmand A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Pakdel H. ↓, Mamun M. ↑,
58', Mohammed M. ↓, Zamehran H. ↑,
66', Soleimanzadeh R. ↓, Qureshi M. ↑,
75', 🟨,
76', Chabradze G. ↓, Mokhtari P. ↑,
85', 🟨,
90', Tabrizi M. ↓, Khaghani S. ↑,
90+10', 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zob Ahan won 2.

Zob Ahan in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nassaji is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zob Ahan will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Zob Ahan won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 0.8:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Zob Ahan won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 0.6:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zob Ahan
Iran Pro League
27.12.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Zob Ahan	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Zob Ahan - Malavan	1:0 ✺
10.12.24	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Zob Ahan	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Zob Ahan - Shams Azar Qazvin	3:0 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
24.11.24	Zob Ahan - Havadar	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWTWW
- Nassaji Mazandaran
Iran Pro League
27.12.24	Nassaji Mazandaran - Tractor Sazi	1:1 ✺
20.12.24	Havadar - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:1 ✺
13.12.24	Nassaji Mazandaran - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Persepolis - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Sepahan - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.8 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
01.05.24	Zob Ahan - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:2
12.11.23	Nassaji Mazandaran - Zob Ahan	1:2
13.03.23	Zob Ahan - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:0
06.10.22	Nassaji Mazandaran - Zob Ahan	0:0
24.05.22	Zob Ahan - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:0
08.01.22	Nassaji Mazandaran - Zob Ahan	1:0
29.01.21	Nassaji Mazandaran - Zob Ahan	2:3

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