Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 15 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom (Mostar)

Referee: Hennessey R. (Irl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3


	Zrinjski Mostar		Botev Plovdiv

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	3.9	Watch
	1.87	3.5	3.6
	1.9	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.96	3.56	3.76
	1.9	3.76	3.68	Watch
	1.93	3.74	3.74	Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.19)	3.64 ↑ (3.42)	3.74 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Zrinjski Mostar
49.3%

Draw
25.7%

Botev Plovdiv
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

27.3%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26.4%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zrinjski Mostar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zrinjski Mostar's performance.

Botev Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botev Plovdiv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zrinjski Mostar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.8%	9.1%	12.1%

Zrinjski Mostar - Botev Plovdiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Zrinjski will win (votes: 24 - 77.4%). Botev Plovdiv will win (votes: 4 - 12.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zrinjski: 62.7% – 92.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Maric M. (G) 6. Corluka J. 44. Sunjic T. 4. Barisic H. (C) 91. Ticinovic M. 8. Mlinar F. 14. Posavec I. 20. Ivancic A. 25. Cuze M. 11. Mulahusejnovic N. 17. Malekinusic M.	1. Bernat C. (G) 17. Minkov N. 5. Tamm J. 19. Conte A. 38. Balogiannis K. 28. Karabelyov Y. 20. Perera A. 7. Akere S. 10. Popov I. (C) 40. Nwachukwu C. 9. Sekulic M.
Substitutes
77. Abdurahimi B. 97. Camber D. 18. Karacic G. (G) 10. Kis T. 81. Kozina M. 12. Mamic P. 50. Memija K. 29. Prskalo A. 19. Ramic T. 96. Rusevic A. 21. Savic I. 30. Topic F.	79. Chernev A. 27. Diabate S. 15. Eto'o J. 32. Igonen M. (G) 21. Iliev N. 22. Kajzer D. (G) 88. Korosec A. 99. Maras A. 16. Remeikis M. 91. Triboulet V. 4. Ukaki E. 42. Videv I.
Coaches
Ivankovic M.	Kerkez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Corluka J. ↓, Memija K. ↑,
22', Mlinar F. (Pen),
28', Nwachukwu C. 🟨,
34', Bernat C. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Mulahusejnovic N. ⚽, Memija K. (A),
41', Conte A. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sekulic M. ↓, Diabate S. ↑,
46', Akere S. ↓, Ukaki E. ↑,
48', Mlinar F. 🟨,
52', Tamm J. 🟨,
56', Nwachukwu C. ↓, Korosec A. ↑,
63', Posavec I. ↓, Savic I. ↑,
63', Mlinar F. ↓, Kis T. ↑,
70', Karabelyov Y. 🟨,
79', Popov I. ↓, Maras A. ↑,
81', Malekinusic M. ↓, Abdurahimi B. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Kis T. ⚽, Cuze M. (A),
86', Karabelyov Y. ↓, Triboulet V. ↑,
90+7', Balogiannis K. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Zrinjski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Zrinjski is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Zrinjski won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Zrinjski won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zrinjski Mostar
Bosnian Premier League
11.08.24	GOŠK Gabela - Zrinjski Mostar	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Botev Plovdiv - Zrinjski Mostar	2:1 ✺
01.08.24	NK Bravo - Zrinjski Mostar	1:3 ✺
25.07.24	Zrinjski Mostar - NK Bravo	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.24	Zrinjski Mostar - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWLW
- Botev Plovdiv
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Botev Plovdiv - Zrinjski Mostar	2:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
04.08.24	Krumovgrad - Botev Plovdiv	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
01.08.24	Botev Plovdiv - Panathinaikos	0:4 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
28.07.24	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.07.24	Panathinaikos - Botev Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Botev Plovdiv - Zrinjski Mostar	2:1
UEFA Europa League
25.07.13	Botev Plovdiv - Zrinjski Mostar	2:0
18.07.13	Zrinjski Mostar - Botev Plovdiv	1:1

Upcoming Matches