Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 August 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Hristo Botev (Plovdiv) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:00	Moja TV
Bulgaria	21:00	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	20:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Greece	21:00	COSMOTE Sport 1
Serbia	20:00	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	20:00	Arena Sport 1


	Botev Plovdiv		Panathinaikos

	1	X	2
	4	3.6	1.75	Watch
	4.2	3.9	1.78
	4.33	3.75	1.78	Watch
	4.51	3.95	1.81
	4.1	3.89	1.77	Watch
	4	3.6	1.73
	4.14	3.88	1.81	Watch
	4.33	3.75	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↓ (4.54)	3.79 ↑ (3.43)	1.78 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botev Plovdiv
22.4%

Draw
24.8%

Panathinaikos
52.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.3%

26.9%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

27.6%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botev Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	13.9%	69.4%

Botev Plovdiv - Panathinaikos Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Botev Plovdiv will win (votes: 6 - 17.6%). Panathinaikos will win (votes: 23 - 67.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panathinaikos: 51.9% – 83.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bernat C. (G) 19. Conte A. 5. Tamm J. 27. Diabate S. 38. Balogiannis K. 15. Eto'o J. 20. Perera A. 17. Minkov N. 10. Popov I. (C) 40. Nwachukwu C. 11. Ujah A.	69. Dragowski B. (G) 27. Kotsiras G. (C) 15. Ingason S. I. 21. Jedvaj T. 25. Mladenovic F. 55. Arao W. 16. Gnezda Cerin A. 17. Mancini D. 11. Bakasetas A. 31. Djuricic F. 29. Jeremejeff A.
Substitutes
7. Akere S. 32. Igonen M. (G) 21. Iliev N. 22. Kajzer D. (G) 28. Karabelyov Y. 88. Korosec A. 99. Maras A. 16. Remeikis M. 9. Sekulic M. 4. Ukaki E. 42. Videv I. 6. Yordanov A.	32. Baldock G. 30. Bregou A. 36. Katris G. 81. Lilo K. (G) 18. Limnios D. 1. Lodygin Y. (G) 20. Maksimovic N. 9. Sporar A. 10. Tete 2. Vagiannidis G. 77. Verbic B. 6. Zeca
Coaches
Kerkez D.	Alonso D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, Jeremejeff A. ⚽, Mladenovic F. (A),
19', Diabate S. 🟨,
33', Nwachukwu C. 🟨,
34', 0 - 2, Ujah A. (Own goal),
40', Jedvaj T. 🟨,
44', Ujah A. ↓, Sekulic M. ↑,
45+2', 0 - 3, Djuricic F. ⚽, Mancini D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Popov I. ↓, Korosec A. ↑,
46', Diabate S. ↓, Akere S. ↑,
46', Jedvaj T. ↓, Maksimovic N. ↑,
47', Conte A. 🟨,
50', 0 - 4, Jeremejeff A. ⚽, Kotsiras G. (A),
59', Balogiannis K. ↓, Yordanov A. ↑,
61', Mancini D. ↓, Tete ↑,
64', Sekulic M. 🟨,
64', Yordanov A. ↓, Karabelyov Y. ↑,
73', Djuricic F. ↓, Limnios D. ↑,
73', Gnezda Cerin A. ↓, Zeca ↑,
79', Jeremejeff A. ↓, Sporar A. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Recent matches Botev Plovdiv is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Panathinaikos is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Panathinaikos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Panathinaikos is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Botev Plovdiv won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botev Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
28.07.24	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.07.24	Panathinaikos - Botev Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
21.07.24	Botev Vratsa - Botev Plovdiv	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
18.07.24	Maribor - Botev Plovdiv	2:2 ✺
11.07.24	Botev Plovdiv - Maribor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWTW
- Panathinaikos FC
UEFA Europa League
25.07.24	Panathinaikos - Botev Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.24	Panathinaikos - Maccabi Netanya	1:0 ✺
13.07.24	Panathinaikos - AEK Larnaca	3:1 ✺
06.07.24	Eintracht Braunschweig - Panathinaikos	1:0 ✺
03.07.24	Paphos - Panathinaikos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
25.07.24	Panathinaikos - Botev Plovdiv	2:1

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