Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 8 August 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Hristo Botev (Plovdiv) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:00	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Bulgaria	21:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	20:00	Arena Sport 2
Slovenia	20:00	Arena Sport 3


	Botev Plovdiv		Zrinjski Mostar

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.85
	2.4	3.3	2.85	Watch
	2.42	3.31	2.87
	2.37	3.38	2.87	Watch
	2.37	3.5	2.78	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.11)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)	2.82 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botev Plovdiv
39.3%

Draw
27.8%

Zrinjski Mostar
32.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.5%

27%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

28.3%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botev Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Zrinjski Mostar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botev Plovdiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	26.7%	23.3%

Botev Plovdiv - Zrinjski Mostar Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Botev Plovdiv will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%). Zrinjski will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botev Plovdiv: 38.7% – 76.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bernat C. (G) 17. Minkov N. 5. Tamm J. 19. Conte A. 38. Balogiannis K. 15. Eto'o J. 20. Perera A. 7. Akere S. 10. Popov I. (C) 40. Nwachukwu C. 9. Sekulic M.	35. Maric M. (G) 6. Corluka J. 4. Barisic H. (C) 44. Sunjic T. 50. Memija K. 8. Mlinar F. 14. Posavec I. 20. Ivancic A. 17. Malekinusic M. 11. Mulahusejnovic N. 25. Cuze M.
Substitutes
79. Chernev A. 27. Diabate S. 32. Igonen M. (G) 21. Iliev N. 22. Kajzer D. (G) 28. Karabelyov Y. 88. Korosec A. 99. Maras A. 77. Marinov B. 16. Remeikis M. 4. Ukaki E. 42. Videv I.	77. Abdurahimi B. 27. Jakovljevic S. 18. Karacic G. (G) 10. Kis T. 81. Kozina M. 12. Mamic P. 19. Ramic T. 96. Rusevic A. 21. Savic I. 1. Sefo A. (G) 91. Ticinovic M. 30. Topic F.
Coaches
Kerkez D.	Ivankovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Ivancic A. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Akere S. ⚽, Minkov N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Posavec I. ↓, Kis T. ↑,
51', Corluka J. 🟨,
61', Memija K. ↓, Ticinovic M. ↑,
70', Akere S. ↓, Korosec A. ↑,
70', Sekulic M. ↓, Maras A. ↑,
72', Conte A. ↓, Diabate S. ↑,
73', Malekinusic M. ↓, Topic F. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Cuze M. ⚽,
79', 2 - 1, Maras A. ⚽, Korosec A. (A),
81', Eto'o J. 🟨,
84', Popov I. ↓, Karabelyov Y. ↑,
84', Nwachukwu C. ↓, Ukaki E. ↑,
85', Kis T. 🟨,
86', Mulahusejnovic N. ↓, Rusevic A. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Botev Plovdiv is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zrinjski is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Botev Plovdiv could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Botev Plovdiv won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Botev Plovdiv won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botev Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
04.08.24	Krumovgrad - Botev Plovdiv	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
01.08.24	Botev Plovdiv - Panathinaikos	0:4 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
28.07.24	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.07.24	Panathinaikos - Botev Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
21.07.24	Botev Vratsa - Botev Plovdiv	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLTLW
- Zrinjski Mostar
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	NK Bravo - Zrinjski Mostar	1:3 ✺
25.07.24	Zrinjski Mostar - NK Bravo	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.24	Zrinjski Mostar - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:0 ✺
12.07.24	Slaven Belupo - Zrinjski Mostar	2:2 ✺
08.07.24	Zrinjski Mostar - Zorya Luhansk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
25.07.13	Botev Plovdiv - Zrinjski Mostar	2:0
18.07.13	Zrinjski Mostar - Botev Plovdiv	1:1

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