Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom (Mostar) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:00	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Croatia	20:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Portugal	19:00	Sport TV1


	Zrinjski Mostar		Vitoria Guimarães

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.15
	3.1	3.4	2.2
	3.38	3.38	2.21
	3.28	3.43	2.13	Watch
	3.47	3.49	2.17	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (3.7)	3.34 ↓ (3.5)	2.17 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zrinjski Mostar
28.7%

Draw
28.1%

Vitoria Guimarães
43.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24%

25.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

24.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zrinjski Mostar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitoria Guimarães might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zrinjski Mostar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitoria Guimarães could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	16.7%	75%

Zrinjski Mostar - Vitoria Guimarães Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Zrinjski will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Guimarães will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Maric M. (G) 50. Memija K. 44. Sunjic T. 4. Barisic H. (C) 12. Mamic P. 21. Savic I. 10. Kis T. 8. Mlinar F. 17. Malekinusic M. 11. Mulahusejnovic N. 25. Cuze M.	14. Varela B. (C) 22. Costa A. 24. Borevkovic T. 3. Villanueva M. 13. Mendes J. 8. Handel T. 6. Manu 77. Santos N. 11. Kaio Cesar 7. Oliveira N. 19. Mangas R.
Substitutes
77. Abdurahimi B. 97. Camber D. 2. Durakovic A. 27. Jakovljevic S. 18. Karacic G. (G) 81. Kozina M. 14. Posavec I. 29. Prskalo A. 19. Ramic T. 1. Sefo A. (G) 30. Topic F.	18. Arcanjo T. 79. Bica 27. Charles Silva (G) 71. Gustavo 91. Jose Ribeiro (G) 17. Mendes J. 2. Miguel Maga 9. Ramirez J. 4. Ribeiro T. 20. Samu 28. Ze Carlos
Coaches
Ivankovic M.	Borges R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
7', Mulahusejnovic N. 🟨,
13', Sunjic T. 🟨,
13', Oliveira N. 🟨,
32', Barisic H. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Manu (Pen),
42', 0 - 2, Santos N. ⚽, Mangas R. (A),
45+4', 0 - 3, Oliveira N. ⚽, Kaio Cesar (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kis T. ↓, Abdurahimi B. ↑,
46', Barisic H. ↓, Kozina M. ↑,
46', Mlinar F. ↓, Jakovljevic S. ↑,
46', Mendes J. ↓,
60', Handel T. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
60', Kaio Cesar ↓, Gustavo ↑,
60', Oliveira N. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
69', Mulahusejnovic N. ↓, Topic F. ↑,
71', Mangas R. ↓, Miguel Maga ↑,
71', 0 - 4, Gustavo ⚽, Santos N. (A),
80', Cuze M. ↓, Prskalo A. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-3.

Recent matches Zrinjski is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guimarães is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Guimarães could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Zrinjski have a series of guest games.

Guimarães will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zrinjski won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zrinjski Mostar
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Zrinjski Mostar	3:0 ✺
15.08.24	Zrinjski Mostar - Botev Plovdiv	2:0 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
11.08.24	GOŠK Gabela - Zrinjski Mostar	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Botev Plovdiv - Zrinjski Mostar	2:1 ✺
01.08.24	NK Bravo - Zrinjski Mostar	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWLW
- Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal
25.08.24	AVS - Vitoria Guimarães	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Zrinjski Mostar	3:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
18.08.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Estoril Praia	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Zürich	2:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
12.08.24	Arouca - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Zrinjski Mostar	3:0

Zrinjski Mostar - Vitoria Guimarães: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide