Match Info

Date: 28 April 2022, Thursday


	Zulia		Zamora

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	2.85	2.15	Watch
	3.2	3.05	2.05
	3.2	3.1	2.11
	3.13	2.82	2.05
	3.6	3	2.05
	3.13	3.25	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (3.74)	3.01 ↓ (3.29)	2.11 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zulia
27.5%

Draw
29.9%

Zamora
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

27.5%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

26.7%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zulia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zamora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zulia than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	45.5%	21.2%

Zulia - Zamora Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Zulia will win (votes: 11 - 33.3%). Zamora will win (votes: 7 - 21.2%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.5% – 62.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Libertadores ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zulia won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Zamora will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Zulia won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 29-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Zulia won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zulia FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
24.04.22	Mineros de Guayana - Zulia	0:3 ✺
14.04.22	Zulia - Universidad Central	2:2 ✺
08.04.22	Monagas - Zulia	2:0 ✺
02.04.22	Aragua - Zulia	0:0 ✺
24.03.22	Zulia - Deportivo La Guaira	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTLTL
- Zamora FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
22.04.22	Zamora - Metropolitanos	0:1 ✺
17.04.22	Deportivo Táchira - Zamora	1:1 ✺
07.04.22	Zamora - Aragua	1:1 ✺
01.04.22	Zamora - Mineros de Guayana	1:1 ✺
24.03.22	Carabobo - Zamora	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
02.10.21	Zamora - Zulia	2:1
12.08.21	Zulia - Zamora	1:1
27.06.21	Zamora - Zulia	2:1
06.05.21	Zulia - Zamora	3:3
26.07.19	Zulia - Zamora	1:0
27.01.19	Zamora - Zulia	4:1
Copa Venezuela
14.10.18	Zamora - Zulia	0:0

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