The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zamora 26.8%
Draw 29.1%
Metropolitanos 44.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
28.7%
33%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
29.9%
31.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zamora's form might have worsened.
Metropolitanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metropolitanos's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+13%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zamora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metropolitanos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Zamora - Metropolitanos Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Metropolitanos will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Metropolitanos: 45% – 100%.
12. Paredes E. (G) 14. Palacios K. 6. Moreno J. 13. Matos A. 21. Patino Castro J. C. 7. Gallardo E. 27. Diaz Moreno C. M. 8. Flores A. (C) 70. Espinal F. 9. Flores J. 38. Sinisterra J.
1. Yustiz Y. (G) 3. Rivillo D. 4. Ferro A. (C) 2. Manenti F. 19. Ramirez I. 8. Ayine G. 15. Zalzman D. 88. Figueroa R. 10. Ramirez J. 30. Navarro J. 9. Ortiz K.
Substitutes
28. Exime J. 2. Gomez S. 77. Jimenez N. 11. Manrique H. 33. Martinez N. 24. Ramirez H. 80. Ruiz F. 5. Sequera J. 1. Sulbaran Briceno I. J. (G) 20. Sulbaran S.
29. Alcocer B. 99. Bianciotti A. 32. Camarillo C. 21. Garces R. 24. Jaimes A. 22. Lara J. (G) 7. Miku 11. Ramirez S. 16. Riasco J. 5. Sangiovani R. 17. Valderrey E. 18. Vargas J.
Coaches
Ortiz J.
Stifano F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Ortiz K. ⚽, Ramirez J. (A),
20', Espinal F. 🟨,
38', Moreno J. 🟨,
45', Diaz Moreno C. M. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 2, Ayine G. ⚽, Ortiz K. (A),
45+3', Navarro J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Patino Castro J. C. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
46', Flores J. ↓, Manrique H. ↑,
46', Palacios K. ↓, Sulbaran S. ↑,
56', Navarro J. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
56', Zalzman D. ↓, Sangiovani R. ↑,
56', 1 - 2, Gomez S. ⚽,
59', Ramirez I. 🟨,
63', Ortiz J. 🟥,
65', Sulbaran S. 🟨,
65', Yustiz Y. 🟨,
67', Ramirez J. ↓, Miku ↑,
75', Gallardo E. ↓, Jimenez N. ↑,
79', Figueroa R. ↓, Garces R. ↑,
79', Ortiz K. ↓, Riasco J. ↑,
80', Ayine G. 🟨,
84', Stifano F. 🟨,
84', Stifano F. 🟥,
85', Matos A. ↓, Exime J. ↑,
87', 1 - 3, Miku (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 13th and 1st in the Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Zamora (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Metropolitanos is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Zamora may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Metropolitanos holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Zamora has recorded 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:18 (averaging 1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Zamora against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 14:9 goals (averaging 1.4:0.9 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Metropolitanos
11
9
1
1
24:9
15
28
13
Zamora
11
2
2
7
10:21
-11
8
Last Results with these Odds
Zamora - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.25%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
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