Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 4

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Het Kuipje (Westerlo)

Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 2
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Westerlo		Zulte Waregem

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.6	2.15	Watch
	3.00	3.70	2.20
	3.05	3.6	2.15	Watch
	3.13	3.83	2.21
	3.01	3.79	2.19	Watch
	3.05	3.75	2.15
	3.09	3.69	2.21	Watch
	2.95	3.65	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.74)	3.7 ↑ (3.65)	2.18 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Westerlo
31.2%

Draw
25.5%

Zulte Waregem
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

25.8%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

25.5%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Westerlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Zulte Waregem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Westerlo - Zulte Waregem Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Westerlo will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Waregem will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Westerlo: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Jungdal A. (C) 23. Mbamba-Muanda L. 5. Kimura S. 4. Lapage A. 28. Ourega D. 45. Fofana I. 12. Laalaoui R. 20. Congreve C. 14. Sandra C. 7. Saito S. 9. Bassette N.	1. Bostyn L. (G) 49. Tangala F. 4. Lemoine L. (C) 5. Kiilerich J. 55. Cappelle Y. 8. Claes T. 6. Lofolomo E. 11. Ake M. 20. Hedl T. 18. Ementa A. 21. Atrok Z.
Substitutes
11. Bohamdi-Kamoni N. 2. Flo L. 17. Jochem D. 1. Lathouwers B. (G) 24. Ndembi M. 10. Patrao A. 13. Sakamoto I. 8. Sydorchuk S. 39. Van den Keybus T.	90. Akpa-Chukwu H. 45. De Jaegere B. 42. Dobbels A. (G) 10. Mbaye M. 15. Mbodji Y. 7. Mituljikic N. 24. Sall M. 36. Ujka S. 53. Vemba K.
Coaches
Charai I.	Beale M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Saito S. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Hedl T. ⚽, Ementa A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, Bassette N. (Penalty Awarded),
63', 2 - 2, Hedl T. ⚽, Ementa A. (A),
66', Atrok Z. ↓, Mbaye M. ↑,
73', Bassette N. ↓, Sakamoto I. ↑,
77', Ourega D. ↓, Flo L. ↑,
79', Cappelle Y. ↓, Mbodji Y. ↑,
82', Flo L. 🟨,
83', Hedl T. ↓, Ujka S. ↑,
87', Saito S. ↓, Jochem D. ↑,
87', Congreve C. ↓, Van den Keybus T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 3.

Westerlo is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Waregem is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Waregem may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Waregem might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Westerlo: Haspolat D. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Waregem: Asare D. (Inactive) Gabriel B. (Inactive)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Westerlo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Waregem	8	3	2	3	10:9	1	11
10	Westerlo	7	3	1	3	15:16	-1	10

Last Results with these Odds

Westerlo - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.42%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KVC Westerlo
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
23.08.26	Lommel - Westerlo	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	Genk - Westerlo	3:2 ✺
08.08.26	Westerlo - Saint-Gilloise	1:5 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Westerlo - Samsunspor	1:2 ✺
29.07.26	Westerlo - AE Kifisia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Zulte Waregem
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
22.08.26	Zulte Waregem - Beveren	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	Saint-Gilloise - Zulte Waregem	0:0 ✺
09.08.26	Zulte Waregem - Genk	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Beerschot Wilrijk - Zulte Waregem	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Zulte Waregem - Sparta Rotterdam	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
31.01.26	Zulte Waregem - Westerlo	0:1
02.08.25	Westerlo - Zulte Waregem	3:1
21.01.23	Zulte Waregem - Westerlo	1:1
01.10.22	Westerlo - Zulte Waregem	2:0
04.03.17	Zulte Waregem - Westerlo	2:2
05.11.16	Westerlo - Zulte Waregem	1:2
Club Friendly
19.07.16	Westerlo - Zulte Waregem	1:1

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