Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 23

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Elindus Arena (Waregem) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Van Driessche B. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	18:15	Sporza, Sporza


	Zulte Waregem		Westerlo

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.7	2.8	Watch
	2.6	3.7	2.5
	2.25	3.5	3
	2.29	3.55	3.17
	2.23	3.54	3.11	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.8
	2.37	3.92	2.83	Watch
	2.28	3.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.69)	3.6 ↓ (3.79)	2.9 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zulte Waregem
41.2%

Draw
26.2%

Westerlo
32.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.1%

24.9%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

24.8%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zulte Waregem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zulte Waregem's performance.

Westerlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Westerlo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zulte Waregem that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Westerlo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

Zulte Waregem - Westerlo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Waregem will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Westerlo will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Westerlo: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Waregem (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Westerlo (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Westerlo (2.07) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Waregem (votes: 2 - 40%). Westerlo (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gabriel B. (G) 3. Tanghe A. (C) 5. Kiilerich J. 12. Paugain W. 21. Nnadi T. 10. Erenbjerg J. 8. Claes T. 55. Cappelle Y. 22. Opoku J. 39. Ake M. 18. Ementa A.	99. Jungdal A. (G) 28. Ourega D. 40. Bayram E. 4. Lapage A. 38. Saito S. 34. Haspolat D. (C) 46. Piedfort A. 7. Sayyadmanesh A. 13. Sakamoto I. 77. Alcocer J. 90. Nacho
Substitutes
1. Bostyn L. (G) 45. De Jaegere B. 11. Gavriel S. 20. Hedl T. 6. Lofolomo E. 19. Nyssen B. 17. Soglo E. 9. Vossen J. 31. Willen L.	11. Bohamdi-Kamoni N. 19. Fixelles M. 29. Goure F. 33. Neustadter R. 10. Patrao A. 17. Smekens R. 8. Sydorchuk S. 14. Vaesen K. 39. Van den Keybus T. 30. Van Langendonck K. (G)
Coaches
Vandenbroeck S.	Charai I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Nacho ⚽, Ourega D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Saito S. ↓, Sydorchuk S. ↑,
57', Lapage A. 🟨,
59', Tanghe A. 🟨,
62', Paugain W. ↓, Nyssen B. ↑,
62', Cappelle Y. ↓, Soglo E. ↑,
62', Opoku J. ↓, Gavriel S. ↑,
65', Neustadter R. 🟨,
73', Nnadi T. ↓, Vossen J. ↑,
73', Tanghe A. ↓, De Jaegere B. ↑,
78', Nacho ↓, Goure F. ↑,
78', Sakamoto I. ↓, Van den Keybus T. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waregem won 1.

Waregem is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Westerlo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Waregem has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Westerlo: Haidara B. (Inactive) Reynolds B. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Westerlo: Kimura S. (Groin Injury) Nacho (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Waregem won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Waregem won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 2.2:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Westerlo	9	4	2	3	24:21	3	14
10	Waregem	9	3	2	4	10:12	-2	11

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Waregem: 1.03% Westerlo: 0.55%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zulte Waregem
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
24.01.26	Club Brugge - Zulte Waregem	4:3 ✺
17.01.26	Zulte Waregem - Genk	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Sion - Zulte Waregem	3:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.12.25	Royal Antwerp - Zulte Waregem	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Saint-Gilloise - Zulte Waregem	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLLL
- KVC Westerlo
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.01.26	KV Mechelen - Westerlo	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Westerlo - Cercle Brugge	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Westerlo	1:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.12.25	Gent - Westerlo	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Westerlo - RAAL La Louvière	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.08.25	Westerlo - Zulte Waregem	3:1
21.01.23	Zulte Waregem - Westerlo	1:1
01.10.22	Westerlo - Zulte Waregem	2:0
04.03.17	Zulte Waregem - Westerlo	2:2
05.11.16	Westerlo - Zulte Waregem	1:2
Club Friendly
19.07.16	Westerlo - Zulte Waregem	1:1
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.01.16	Westerlo - Zulte Waregem	1:2

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