The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
KV Mechelen 47.5%
Draw 26%
Westerlo 26.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.5%
26.2%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
25.6%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KV Mechelen's performance.
Westerlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Westerlo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KV Mechelen that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Westerlo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
16.7%
33.3%
KV Mechelen - Westerlo Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Mechelen will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Westerlo will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Miras N. (G) 2. Marijnissen L. 44. Eerdhuijzen M. 3. Marsa J. 7. Koudou T. 26. Praet D. 6. Hammar F. (C) 17. Van Meirvenne C. 27. Vanrafelghem K. 9. van Brederode M. 16. Ayodele S.
99. Jungdal A. (C) 2. Flo L. 5. Kimura S. 4. Lapage A. 28. Ourega D. 45. Fofana I. 14. Sandra C. 20. Congreve C. 13. Sakamoto I. 7. Saito S. 9. Bassette N.
Substitutes
29. Antonio B. 11. Bafdili B. 28. Boersma B. 30. Decherf M. 39. Decoene M. 1. De Wolf O. (G) 19. Lohunanu-Mbasi M. 23. Michez S. 14. Raman B.
40. Balogh B. 11. Bohamdi-Kamoni N. 88. Ferraro F. 17. Jochem D. 21. Lathouwers B. (G) 23. Mbamba-Muanda L. 10. Storm N. 39. Van den Keybus T.
Coaches
Vanderbiest F.
Charai I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Sakamoto I. ⚽, Flo L. (A),
24', Sandra C. 🟨,
27', 0 - 2, Saito S. ⚽, Congreve C. (A),
29', Ayodele S. ↓, Boersma B. ↑,
42', Sakamoto I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Van Meirvenne C. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
67', 0 - 3, Saito S. ⚽,
73', Saito S. ↓, Storm N. ↑,
77', Vanrafelghem K. 🟨,
78', Marsa J. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
78', Praet D. ↓, Decherf M. ↑,
82', Decherf M. 🟨,
84', Bassette N. ↓, Diong P. ↑,
86', Hammar F. 🟨,
88', 0 - 4, Storm N. ⚽, Sakamoto I. (A),
89', Eerdhuijzen M. ↓, Decoene M. ↑,
90', Congreve C. ↓, Bohamdi-Kamoni N. ↑,
90', Sakamoto I. ↓, Van den Keybus T. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 1.
Mechelen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Westerlo has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Mechelen might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Mechelen: Antonio B.
(Ankle Injury)
Diouf G.
(Injury)
Hjelde L. F.
(Inactive)
Salifou D.
(Inactive)
St. Jago T.
(Injury)
Struyf I.
(Inactive)
Van Ingelgom T.
(Forearm injury)
There will not play in Westerlo: Borys K.
(Inactive)
Ferraro F.
(Inactive)
Haspolat D.
(Ankle Injury)
Munz R.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Mechelen: Ozdemir H.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 46:30. (average 2.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 2.3:2.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Westerlo
7
3
1
3
15:16
-1
10
18
KV Mechelen
7
0
3
4
5:14
-9
3
Last Results with these Odds
KV Mechelen - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 39.48%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Westerlo - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.36%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.