Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 20

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Planet Group Arena (Gent)

Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza
Spain	DAZN Espana


	Gent		Westerlo

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.6	Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.87
	2.5	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.52	3.55	2.67	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.63
	2.49	3.56	2.74	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.43)	3.5 ↓ (3.58)	2.69 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gent
38.2%

Draw
26.8%

Westerlo
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

26.4%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.2%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Westerlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Westerlo aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	23.8%	9.5%

Gent - Westerlo Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Gent will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Westerlo will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gent: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Gent (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Westerlo (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Gent (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Gent (votes: 3 - 50%). Westerlo (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Roef D. (C) 18. Samoise M. 57. Volckaert M. 3. Paskotsi M. 44. Van Der Heyden S. 20. Araujo T. 27. De Vlieger T. 37. Kadri A. 15. Ito A. 45. Goore H. 7. Kanga W.	99. Jungdal A. (G) 22. Reynolds B. 40. Bayram E. 4. Lapage A. 25. Rommens T. 34. Haspolat D. (C) 46. Piedfort A. 7. Sayyadmanesh A. 13. Sakamoto I. 11. Mebude A. 90. Nacho
Substitutes
21. Dean M. 29. Duverne J. 6. Gandelman O. 26. Lagae B. 22. Lopes L. 10. Omgba A. 30. Peersman K. (G) 11. Sonko M. 14. Vanzeir D.	9. Bujupi E. 19. Fixelles M. 29. Goure F. 23. Mbamba-Muanda L. 33. Neustadter R. 17. Smekens R. 8. Sydorchuk S. 14. Vaesen K. 39. Van den Keybus T. 30. Van Langendonck K. (G)
Coaches
De Mil R.	Charai I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Goore H. ⚽, Ito A. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Paskotsi M. ⚽, Samoise M. (A),
41', Van Der Heyden S. 🟨,
43', Haspolat D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Ito A. ↓, Lopes L. ↑,
75', Sakamoto I. ↓, Vaesen K. ↑,
75', Piedfort A. ↓, Van den Keybus T. ↑,
80', Goore H. ↓, Gandelman O. ↑,
80', Samoise M. ↓, Duverne J. ↑,
87', Sayyadmanesh A. ↓, Bujupi E. ↑,
87', Nacho ↓, Goure F. ↑,
88', Kadri A. ↓, Omgba A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gent won 3.

Gent has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Westerlo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Gent: Ayinde A. (International duty) Delorge-Knieper M. (Ankle Injury) Kotto S. (International duty)

There will not play in Westerlo: Alcocer J. (Inactive) Goure F. (Knee Injury) Kimura S. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Gent: Essaouabi H. (Knock) Lopes L. (Knock)

There are questionable in Westerlo: Nacho (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Gent won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 44:23. (average 2.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gent won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:9. (average 3.4:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Gent - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.88%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.12.25	Club Brugge - Gent	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Gent - Royal Antwerp	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Saint-Gilloise - Gent	1:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
03.12.25	Cercle Brugge - Gent	1:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.11.25	Gent - Sint-Truidense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLTWL
- KVC Westerlo
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
20.12.25	Westerlo - RAAL La Louvière	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Genk - Westerlo	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Westerlo - Anderlecht	4:0 ✺
29.11.25	Dender EH - Westerlo	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Westerlo - Gent	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
22.11.25	Westerlo - Gent	0:0
01.12.24	Westerlo - Gent	2:2
18.08.24	Gent - Westerlo	4:1
27.04.24	Gent - Westerlo	3:2
07.04.24	Westerlo - Gent	0:3
27.01.24	Gent - Westerlo	2:2
13.08.23	Westerlo - Gent	1:3

Upcoming Matches