Match Info

Date: 18 May 2021, Tuesday


	Zvezda St. Petersburg		Rodina Moscow

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.25	4.2	1.6
	3.9	5	1.52
	3.95	3.8	1.63
	4.11	3.71	1.68
	4.6	3.9	1.57
	4.3	4.15	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↑ (2.92)	4.13 ↑ (3.64)	1.61 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zvezda St. Petersburg
21.6%

Draw
21.9%

Rodina Moscow
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

25.3%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

18.8%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zvezda St. Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zvezda St. Petersburg's form might have worsened.

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rodina Moscow's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvezda St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Zvezda St. Petersburg - Rodina Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 6).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Zvezda St. Petersburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rodina will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Zvezda St. Petersburg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zvezda St. Petersburg
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
11.05.21	Murom - Zvezda St. Petersburg	2:2 ✺
29.04.21	Olimp Dolgoprudny - Zvezda St. Petersburg	0:0 ✺
24.04.21	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Volga Tver	0:0 ✺
17.04.21	Chita - Zvezda St. Petersburg	0:2 ✺
06.04.21	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Znamya Truda	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TTTWT
- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
11.05.21	Kolomna - Rodina Moscow	3:3 ✺
06.05.21	Znamya Truda - Rodina Moscow	0:3 ✺
29.04.21	Rodina Moscow - Lokomotiv-Kazanka	0:1 ✺
23.04.21	Rodina Moscow - Murom	2:2 ✺
17.04.21	Smolensk - Rodina Moscow	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 2
28.08.20	Rodina Moscow - Zvezda St. Petersburg	3:2
Russian PFL West
06.09.19	Rodina Moscow - Zvezda St. Petersburg	3:1

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