Match Info

J3 League - Round 23

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Ishikawa Athletics Stadium (Kanazawa)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Zweigen Kanazawa		Tegevajaro Miyazaki

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.4	2.98	2.82
	2.56	2.99	3.07
	5.29	3.47	1.67	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.4	3.05	2.74	Watch
	2.21	3.27	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.21)	3.09 ↓ (3.27)	2.74 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zweigen Kanazawa
34.6%

Draw
30.7%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

27.3%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

26.3%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zweigen Kanazawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zweigen Kanazawa's form might have worsened.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zweigen Kanazawa than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zweigen Kanazawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Zweigen Kanazawa - Tegevajaro Miyazaki Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Tegevajaro Miyazaki (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tegevajaro Miyazaki (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Yamanoi T. (G) 4. Matsumoto D. 3. Hatao H. 20. Nagakura H. 30. Otani H. 18. Kumagai A. 26. Murata J. 24. Nishiya K. 17. Kato T. 41. Shimada S. 9. Toshida Y.	55. Aoki K. (G) 24. Matsumoto Y. 33. Kuroki K. 35. Egawa G. 39. Shimokawa Y. 50. Yasuda K. 8. Rikiyasu S. 41. Sakai S. 47. Okumura K. 20. Ano M. 11. Hashimoto K.
Substitutes
14. Ishihara T. 25. Kojima M. 49. Osawa T. 8. Oyama K. 10. Patric 23. Shinomiya Y. 1. Shirai Y. (G) 11. Sugiura K. 55. Taira T.	40. Ando R. 10. Inoue R. 32. Lee Chung-won (G) 28. Manabe H. 42. Matsumoto K. 30. Mochizuki K. 14. Satsukida S. 45. Tanaka S. 25. Yokokubo K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Hashimoto K. ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, Hashimoto K. ⚽, Shimokawa Y. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 0 - 3, Hashimoto K. ⚽, Okumura K. (A),
60', Kumagai A. ↓, Oyama K. ↑,
60', Shimada S. ↓, Osawa T. ↑,
66', Ano M. ↓, Inoue R. ↑,
68', Toshida Y. ↓, Patric ↑,
68', Otani H. ↓, Kojima M. ↑,
69', Sakai S. 🟨,
77', Aoki K. 🟨,
78', Rikiyasu S. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
78', Sakai S. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
80', Kato T. ↓, Sugiura K. ↑,
81', Okumura K. 🟨,
85', 1 - 3, Sugiura K. ⚽, Patric (A),
88', Hashimoto K. ↓, Manabe H. ↑,
88', Matsumoto Y. ↓, Satsukida S. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 3, Patric (Pen),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Kanazawa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tegevajaro Miyazaki's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kanazawa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kanazawa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Kanazawa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J3 League
26.07.25	Nara Club - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:1 ✺
12.07.25	Kochi United - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Fukushima United	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLTWW
- Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J3 League
26.07.25	Sagamihara - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:0 ✺
21.07.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:3 ✺
12.07.25	Osaka - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
17.05.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1
06.10.24	Zweigen Kanazawa - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:1
16.03.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:2

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