Match Info

J3 League - Round 18

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Unilever Stadium Shintomi (Miyazaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tegevajaro Miyazaki		Kamatamare Sanuki

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.4
	1.8	3.4	4.7
				Watch
	2	2.9	3.6
	1.83	3.4	4.39	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.82)	3.22 ↓ (3.25)	4.08 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
48.7%

Draw
28.7%

Kamatamare Sanuki
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

27%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Kamatamare Sanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kamatamare Sanuki than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kamatamare Sanuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tegevajaro Miyazaki will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Kamatamare will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tegevajaro Miyazaki (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Lee Chung-won (G) 24. Matsumoto Y. 33. Kuroki K. 35. Egawa G. 39. Shimokawa Y. 50. Yasuda K. 8. Rikiyasu S. 20. Ano M. 47. Okumura K. 10. Inoue R. 11. Hashimoto K.	1. Imamura Y. (G) 35. Sago S. 3. Ibayashi A. 99. Tsukegi Y. 2. Uchida M. 6. Hasegawa H. 96. Yoshida J. 33. Kawakami S. 90. Goto Y. 17. Makiyama K. 23. Iwagishi S.
Substitutes
40. Ando R. 55. Aoki K. (G) 34. Kawai T. 28. Manabe H. 42. Matsumoto K. 41. Sakai S. 4. Sakurai F. 25. Yokokubo K. 18. Yoshizawa S.	20. Dunga I. 55. Fujii Y. 41. Iida M. (G) 15. Iwamoto K. 10. Kawanishi S. 13. Maekawa T. 8. Mori Y. 22. Ono Y. 24. Ueno A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Tsukegi Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Egawa G. ⚽,
71', Makiyama K. ↓, Ono Y. ↑,
71', Iwagishi S. ↓, Kawanishi S. ↑,
79', Yoshida J. 🟨,
80', Inoue R. ↓, Yoshizawa S. ↑,
80', Ano M. ↓, Sakai S. ↑,
82', Ibayashi A. 🟥,
86', Uchida M. ↓, Iwamoto K. ↑,
87', Shimokawa Y. ↓, Sakurai F. ↑,
90', Sago S. ↓, Dunga I. ↑,
90+10', Okumura K. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tegevajaro Miyazaki won 1.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kamatamare has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Tegevajaro Miyazaki might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tegevajaro Miyazaki won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tegevajaro Miyazaki won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J3 League
21.06.25	Gifu - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:3 ✺
14.06.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Osaka	0:0 ✺
07.06.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Sagamihara	4:2 ✺
31.05.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTWTT
- Kamatamare Sanuki
Japan J3 League
21.06.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Nagano Parceiro	0:1 ✺
15.06.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kamatamare Sanuki	3:3 ✺
07.06.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Osaka	0:3 ✺
31.05.25	Tochigi - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
24.05.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Kochi United	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
20.10.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:4
22.06.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kamatamare Sanuki	3:3
02.09.23	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kamatamare Sanuki	0:1
15.07.23	Kamatamare Sanuki - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:1
13.08.22	Kamatamare Sanuki - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:1
15.05.22	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kamatamare Sanuki	0:0
07.11.21	Kamatamare Sanuki - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:2

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