The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sagamihara 41.3%
Draw 29.9%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
31%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
31.5%
36.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sagamihara's performance.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tegevajaro Miyazaki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sagamihara that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tegevajaro Miyazaki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Sagamihara - Tegevajaro Miyazaki Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Sagamihara will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Tegevajaro Miyazaki will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Sagamihara (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sagamihara (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
46. Baumann N. (G) 2. Kato D. 3. Pytlik K. 33. Tokida M. 26. Nishikubo S. 4. Shimakawa T. 6. Tokunaga Y. 7. Kawano R. 8. Osako R. 15. Maeda T. 14. Takagi A.
55. Aoki K. (G) 24. Matsumoto Y. 33. Kuroki K. 35. Egawa G. 39. Shimokawa Y. 34. Kawai T. 8. Rikiyasu S. 41. Sakai S. 47. Okumura K. 10. Inoue R. 11. Hashimoto K.
Substitutes
97. Fujinuma T. 31. Inose K. (G) 23. Kato T. 11. Muto Y. 27. Nishiyama T. 28. Ogasawara K. 9. Rafael Furtado 24. Sugimoto R. 17. Takeuchi T.
20. Ano M. 32. Lee Chung-won (G) 42. Matsumoto K. 13. Nakano K. 4. Sakurai F. 14. Satsukida S. 45. Tanaka S. 27. Watanabe S. 25. Yokokubo K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Takagi A. 🟨,
39', Pytlik K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Tokunaga Y. ↓, Takeuchi T. ↑,
57', Maeda T. ↓, Muto Y. ↑,
57', Kawano R. ↓, Sugimoto R. ↑,
73', Inoue R. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
75', Nishikubo S. ↓, Fujinuma T. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Fujinuma T. ⚽,
78', Kawai T. ↓, Ano M. ↑,
81', Osako R. ↓, Nishiyama T. ↑,
87', Sakai S. ↓, Nakano K. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 0.
Sagamihara is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tegevajaro Miyazaki has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Tegevajaro Miyazaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Sagamihara won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).