Match Info

J3 League - Round 36

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Ishikawa Athletics Stadium (Kanazawa)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Zweigen Kanazawa		Tochigi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.22	3.1	2.98	Watch
	2.38	3.25	3.29
	2.15	3.36	3.18	Watch
	2.27	3	3.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.15)	3.18 ↓ (3.36)	3.13 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zweigen Kanazawa
41.2%

Draw
29.2%

Tochigi
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

27.6%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

27%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zweigen Kanazawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zweigen Kanazawa than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-1%)

Zweigen Kanazawa - Tochigi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Tochigi (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tochigi (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Yamanoi T. (G) 20. Nagakura H. 39. Shoji H. 38. Yamamoto N. 30. Otani H. 15. Nishiya Y. 18. Kumagai A. 24. Nishiya K. 41. Shimada S. 17. Kato T. 10. Patric	1. Kawata S. (G) 37. Kimura Y. 2. Hiramatsu W. 25. Iwasaki H. 22. Takahashi H. 77. Fujiwara K. 11. Aoshima T. 8. Fukumori K. 81. Nakano K. 10. Igarashi T. 32. Ota R.
Substitutes
14. Ishihara T. 25. Kojima M. 4. Matsumoto D. 16. Mori S. 49. Osawa T. 8. Oyama K. 23. Shinomiya Y. 1. Shirai Y. (G) 9. Toshida Y.	14. Diamanka C. 5. Mori R. 80. Otabor K. 19. Shoji H. 40. Takashima S. 7. Tanahashi A. 27. Tanno K. (G) 29. Yano K. 47. Yoshino H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Fukumori K. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Patric ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nishiya Y. 🟨,
60', Shimada S. ↓, Osawa T. ↑,
60', Patric ↓, Toshida Y. ↑,
61', Yamamoto N. 🟨,
67', Fukumori K. ↓, Mori R. ↑,
67', Nakano K. ↓, Tanahashi A. ↑,
79', Igarashi T. ↓, Otabor K. ↑,
79', Otani H. ↓, Kojima M. ↑,
79', Kumagai A. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Kojima M. ⚽,
82', Ota R. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
82', Aoshima T. ↓, Diamanka C. ↑,
84', Nishiya Y. ↓, Matsumoto D. ↑,
88', Kato T. ↓, Ishihara T. ↑,
90+1', Otabor K. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 9)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kanazawa won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kanazawa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Kanazawa won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kanazawa won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J3 League
09.11.25	Sagamihara - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:3 ✺
26.10.25	Fukushima United - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Gifu	4:1 ✺
15.10.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWWW
- Tochigi SC
Japan J3 League
09.11.25	Tochigi - Kagoshima United	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Tochigi - Gifu	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Osaka - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Tochigi	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Tochigi - Fukushima United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
20.04.25	Tochigi - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:1
Japan J2 League
01.07.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Tochigi	0:1
03.05.23	Tochigi - Zweigen Kanazawa	4:0
23.10.22	Zweigen Kanazawa - Tochigi	0:0
03.04.22	Tochigi - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:2
21.11.21	Tochigi - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0
25.04.21	Zweigen Kanazawa - Tochigi	1:1

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