Match Info

J3 League - Round 28

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Ishikawa Athletics Stadium (Kanazawa)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Zweigen Kanazawa		Matsumoto Yamaga

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.45	4.95	Watch
	1.79	3.46	4.2
	1.31	5.16	8.48	Watch
	1.65	3.42	5.02	Watch
	2.22	3.3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.18)	3.76 ↑ (3.28)	5.12 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zweigen Kanazawa
55.8%

Draw
25.5%

Matsumoto Yamaga
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

27.7%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

27%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zweigen Kanazawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zweigen Kanazawa's performance.

Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matsumoto Yamaga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zweigen Kanazawa than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zweigen Kanazawa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matsumoto Yamaga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Zweigen Kanazawa - Matsumoto Yamaga Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Kanazawa (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Matsumoto Yamaga (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Matsumoto Yamaga (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Kanazawa (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Zweigen Kanazawa will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Kanazawa (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Matsumoto Yamaga (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Yamanoi T. (G) 20. Nagakura H. 3. Hatao H. 55. Taira T. 30. Otani H. 15. Nishiya Y. 26. Murata J. 24. Nishiya K. 11. Sugiura K. 49. Osawa T. 9. Toshida Y.	1. Ouchi I. (G) 19. Sugita H. 4. Takahashi S. 16. Miyabe T. 40. Higuchi D. 15. Yamamoto K. 46. Yasunaga R. 17. Yamamoto R. 41. Murakoshi K. 10. Kikui Y. 43. Hayashi M.
Substitutes
14. Ishihara T. 25. Kojima M. 4. Matsumoto D. 16. Mori S. 2. Nagamine Y. 10. Patric 41. Shimada S. 23. Shinomiya Y. 1. Shirai Y. (G)	35. Kanda S. (G) 25. Kawakami K. 20. Maeda R. 36. Matsumura G. 24. Ogawa D. 18. Ohashi H. 22. Saso K. 23. Taki Y. 42. Tanaka S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Kato T. ⚽, Patric (A),
37', Yamamoto R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kawakami K. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
46', Miyabe T. ↓, Yamamoto K. ↑,
60', Patric ↓, Toshida Y. ↑,
60', Kato T. ↓, Osawa T. ↑,
70', Taki Y. ↓, Saso K. ↑,
77', Shimada S. ↓, Sugiura K. ↑,
77', Ishihara T. ↓, Nishiya K. ↑,
81', Yamamoto R. ↓, Ogawa D. ↑,
90', Maeda R. ↓, Kokubu R. ↑,
90+2', Nagakura H. ↓, Hatao H. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kanazawa won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kanazawa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Kanazawa won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:28. (average 0.9:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kanazawa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J3 League
12.10.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Azul Claro Numazu	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Nagano Parceiro - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:3 ✺
27.09.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Ryūkyū - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Osaka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWLW
- Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J3 League
05.10.25	Fukushima United - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tochigi	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Azul Claro Numazu	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Tochigi City - Matsumoto Yamaga	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
03.05.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:1
13.10.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1
06.04.24	Zweigen Kanazawa - Matsumoto Yamaga	6:1
Japan J2 League
19.09.21	Zweigen Kanazawa - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:1
15.05.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:0
30.09.20	Matsumoto Yamaga - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:1
27.06.20	Zweigen Kanazawa - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:0

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